Token Launches · resolved market
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335e09b4c0f8d6ef193eb0488c565445cc41770558b814573be44b29aa039659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,717,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,503,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,717,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 8c | 147,070$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,640.11 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…8ce6backed Yes | 8c | 70,235$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 3c | 38,550$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.82 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 35,789$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 3c | 30,600$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.32 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…a60ebacked Yes | 11c | 30,385$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 16c | 30,012$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 2c | 28,577$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.49 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…d5bfbacked Yes | 9c | 27,229$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 11c | 24,937$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.36 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 19c | 24,062$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 17c | 21,112$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.97 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 2c | 20,401$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…31bdbacked Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…1e84backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…fdf0backed Yes | 15c | 19,377$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 78c | 18,694$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.32 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…0eefbacked Yes | 12c | 16,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 15,277$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 64c | 15,084$9,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 65c | 14,522$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 3c | 12,222$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 16c | 9,594$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 8c | 9,423$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 0c | 8,824$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…6edabacked Yes | 7c | 8,450$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 10c | 8,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 11c | 7,705$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840.16 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Yes | 16c | 7,584$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…99e0backed Yes | 2c | 7,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 25c | 7,200$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,828$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…cee3backed No | 16c | 6,375$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 17c | 5,900$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 74c | 5,765$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed Yes | 15c | 5,592$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…ec31backed Yes | 11c | 5,584$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 8c | 5,300$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 11c | 5,250$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 5,222$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 76c | 5,169$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa746…d20dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…9f79backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…1fc3backed Yes | 14c | 4,757$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 4,735$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Yes | 12c | 4,693$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked Yes | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 11c | 4,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 14c | 4,397$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…b90fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,042$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 9c | 3,945$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,862$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.19 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked Yes | 20c | 3,728$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.91 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…caa6backed Yes | 20c | 3,606$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,499$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,345$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.63 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked Yes | 21c | 3,300$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…59b7backed No | 55c | 3,251$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked No | 47c | 3,095$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…929fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,938$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…b4f4backed Yes | 4c | 2,788$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4269…4616backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…de0cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 15c | 2,670$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.97 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 19c | 2,660$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…8922backed Yes | 19c | 2,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…b414backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 18c | 2,304$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfa…b299backed Yes | 22c | 2,300$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…ab47backed Yes | 25c | 2,280$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325c…0a32backed Yes | 1c | 2,228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 26c | 2,225$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…2e80backed Yes | 9c | 2,201$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 15c | 2,130$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.28 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed No | 21c | 2,113$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +148%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…1744backed Yes | 12c | 2,041$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 5c | 2,036$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…7153backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?this page
- Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.