Token Launches · resolved market
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f7e9d839a3d94158c16ae7a1ccfd494a66ff980131ad0fc87bc98b7b1dc1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,118,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,811,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,118,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 202,000$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked No | 14c | 121,737$17,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,248.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48a…e843backed Yes | 12c | 120,593$14,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 31c | 107,565$33,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,639.21 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…fefbbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 14c | 93,485$12,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes | 40c | 92,000$36,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,339.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…53f7backed No | 29c | 88,101$25,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,801.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Yes | 71c | 88,100$62,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,373.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +329.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 39c | 84,973$33,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,308.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed No | 79c | 72,352$57,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,905.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…9124backed Yes | 17c | 69,034$11,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,415.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 11cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 67c | 62,759$42,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,227.45 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 39c | 53,715$20,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,904.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…8ce6backed Yes | 29c | 48,401$14,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,157.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed No | 59c | 46,114$27,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,105.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…6195backed Yes | 80c | 45,873$36,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,537.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 12c | 45,644$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 11c | 45,333$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.52 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 55c | 44,552$24,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,069.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…e0d8backed No | 79c | 44,000$34,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,417.23 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 76c | 41,981$31,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 28c | 40,676$11,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +498.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…e4a4backed No | 15c | 34,452$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,448.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 16c | 33,832$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.7 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 16c | 33,163$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 36c | 31,782$11,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,478 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 31,567$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.5 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a2d1backed Yes | 4c | 30,675$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 17c | 29,850$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…4fb3backed No | 62c | 28,639$17,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960.26 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed No | 20c | 27,951$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,223.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +148%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…9238backed Yes | 41c | 27,142$11,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,184.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…e0a4backed No | 34c | 26,200$8,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,272.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 6c | 25,552$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,907.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…d7eebacked Yes | 31c | 25,199$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,819.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 40c | 23,700$9,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,471.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 80c | 22,788$18,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 2c | 22,199$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 22,151$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.33 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…856cbacked Yes | 18c | 21,920$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…4dfcbacked No | 70c | 21,549$15,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,368.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…60a4backed Yes | 15c | 20,911$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…370ebacked No | 19c | 18,619$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,132.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed Yes | 10c | 18,429$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 11c | 18,411$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9dffbacked Yes | 28c | 17,869$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…f856backed No | 65c | 17,849$11,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…9994backed No | 68c | 17,802$12,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 35c | 17,446$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,422 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Yes | 70c | 17,388$12,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,238.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 12c | 17,375$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.08 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 23c | 17,000$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,058.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…95b0backed Yes | 10c | 16,788$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dd47backed Yes | 2c | 16,615$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 10c | 15,501$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,973.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 14c | 15,429$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,174.96 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…7537backed Yes | 4c | 14,999$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.94 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…c0bebacked Yes | 7c | 14,740$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…82e6backed No | 72c | 14,340$10,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 4c | 14,259$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 56c | 14,186$7,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,888.37 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf684…18cfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,007$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 38c | 13,956$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.65 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…df13backed No | 60c | 13,769$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…7a96backed No | 36c | 13,755$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,754.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked Yes | 22c | 13,285$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…efa9backed Yes | 68c | 13,055$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…0d01backed Yes | 70c | 12,819$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,015.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…2ef3backed Yes | 73c | 12,623$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,208.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…4409backed Yes | 72c | 12,455$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 10c | 12,306$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 10c | 11,867$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 10c | 11,660$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…5596backed Yes | 14c | 11,571$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 8c | 11,505$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…ca27backed No | 34c | 11,451$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed No | 17c | 11,436$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 25c | 11,110$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed No | 9c | 11,024$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,033.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 7c | 11,009$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.74 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 26c | 11,003$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…1f90backed Yes | 11c | 10,980$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 9c | 10,810$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…6148backed Yes | 66c | 10,705$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,077.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…b90fbacked Yes | 11c | 10,637$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 4c | 10,544$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 10,270$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.64 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,094$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 10,012$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed No | 39c | 9,971$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.95 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 31c | 9,893$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.38 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…db20backed No | 71c | 9,831$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…1545backed No | 48c | 9,792$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 25c | 9,766$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.79 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes | 20c | 9,723$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked Yes | 5c | 9,712$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed No | 16c | 9,094$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?this page
- Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
- Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
- Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.