Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc856c9cc6098aca874e1d760d6bfb7fa1dcc41c7eb6a62b0176d72a25fc77949

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $560,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $456,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7744…999ebacked Yes	4c	59,361$2,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,123.52	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-36%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes	4c	41,501$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes	3c	30,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+148.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1070…9124backed Yes	1c	20,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	11cpaid	+737.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	4c	20,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493d…8d9cbacked Yes	18c	15,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb8…b90fbacked Yes	0c	14,149$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	12,100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd588…cec0backed Yes	1c	11,362$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.17	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Yes	4c	9,800$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.2	57	12.3%7 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes	5c	6,536$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes	7c	6,391$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.71	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes	2c	6,000$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1258…0c15backed Yes	4c	5,713$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	15%3 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes	1c	5,396$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.11	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…69b7backed Yes	6c	5,302$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…c192backed Yes	4c	4,900$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.3	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf361…9071backed Yes	6c	4,572$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.95	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes	2c	4,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1073…2e80backed Yes	3c	3,864$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes	2c	3,500$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	3,140$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.64	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6c…e400backed Yes	5c	3,106$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.79	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb3…270cbacked Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb45…952dbacked Yes	6c	2,577$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.95	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-54%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	2c	2,536$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.27	110	7.3%8 W · 102 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe541…52d6backed Yes	2c	2,500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	4c	2,482$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+112.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	1c	2,250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	46	2.2%1 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x55c5…a686backed Yes	4c	2,190$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.84	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,145$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…cd44backed Yes	4c	2,060$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff87…6c51backed Yes	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c77…8656backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes	3c	1,728$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes	3c	1,626$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+43%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Yes	6c	1,539$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433b…f372backed Yes	3c	1,532$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43bb…6fb9backed Yes	3c	1,489$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	3c	1,410$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-91.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37f0…6edabacked Yes	1c	1,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a2c4backed Yes	4c	1,309$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes	4c	1,285$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+78.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes	9c	1,100$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.97	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45f4…631dbacked Yes	6c	1,039$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.37	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325c…0a32backed Yes	5c	1,019$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…1cd2backed Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes	3c	1,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2472…f7e0backed Yes	2c	1,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571b…59a1backed Yes	5c	1,000$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	2c	916.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9e…4f07backed Yes	3c	894.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+142.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c3…cf5cbacked Yes	3c	850$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Yes	5c	840.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	1c	800.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb430…0448backed Yes	2c	800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-84.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa901…d418backed Yes	3c	800$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	2c	800$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a2…20aebacked Yes	6c	778.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes	7c	717.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	705.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	333	29.7%99 W · 234 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes	9c	700$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes	3c	678.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ab…01cabacked Yes	3c	653.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2a…384dbacked Yes	2c	650$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…68bcbacked Yes	4c	639.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb574…9d12backed Yes	3c	600$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	535$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2874…c2e7backed Yes	3c	534.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	4c	515$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…7e75backed Yes	6c	510.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffef…d7dbbacked Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe866…2e9ebacked Yes	4c	500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1209…7563backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5546…c8cebacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07f…8f3ebacked Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes	3c	499.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d1…e903backed Yes	6c	446.38$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11a6…936bbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…016cbacked Yes	7c	360.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe21…479fbacked Yes	7c	358.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2171…924bbacked Yes	6c	355.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad64…65efbacked Yes	3c	335.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.20per pick	35cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17a5…e00abacked Yes	9c	262.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-46%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f56…18ddbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b3…126cbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a04…d953backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb56f…d003backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e3…935bbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5571…2338backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8176…7afdbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3442…ef4dbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c4…f665backed Yes	4c	223.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?this page
Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes won
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No won
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event