Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d658ac249e3833231e2eb5375f0e6c57d7686a1208fa986bfb6aef99cdc9681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,191,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,073,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,191,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 12c | 123,770$14,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,863.99 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 10c | 61,461$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 51,629$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked No | 78c | 36,460$28,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 22c | 22,122$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 21,902$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 17c | 19,482$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 26c | 17,407$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 25c | 16,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 32c | 15,196$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 12c | 12,768$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.51 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed Yes | 4c | 12,146$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 21c | 11,324$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 19c | 10,936$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed Yes | 7c | 10,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 14c | 10,716$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.59 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 16c | 10,631$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4a…9b9ebacked No | 64c | 9,995$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,000$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 29c | 9,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 8c | 8,026$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 16c | 7,966$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 7,252$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.64 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 26c | 6,241$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…a6dfbacked Yes | 7c | 6,228$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 76c | 5,850$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 26c | 5,705$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 5,673$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 30c | 5,555$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 20c | 5,555$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 30c | 5,555$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 20c | 5,397$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…5e06backed No | 78c | 5,386$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…317ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…52b9backed No | 79c | 5,084$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 72c | 4,949$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 4,818$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 4,693$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,583$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.83 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…8a8ebacked No | 73c | 4,480$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 8c | 4,188$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,093$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…1eaabacked Yes | 3c | 4,043$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 4,001$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 76c | 3,941$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,777$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed No | 73c | 3,650$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 75c | 3,540$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 17c | 3,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,342$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…4991backed Yes | 28c | 3,290$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 74c | 3,074$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 11c | 3,034$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…f988backed Yes | 27c | 2,971$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,907$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…c21abacked Yes | 4c | 2,818$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 31c | 2,800$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Yes | 36c | 2,791$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 72c | 2,788$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…5ef0backed Yes | 1c | 2,677$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 17c | 2,606$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,551$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…8e5ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,360$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 35c | 2,272$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 26c | 2,216$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed Yes | 17c | 2,185$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 38c | 2,095$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 17c | 2,049$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes | 19c | 2,035$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,991$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 75c | 1,946$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 74c | 1,805$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed No | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 16c | 1,800$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,778$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 26c | 1,742$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,700$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 78c | 1,683$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,672$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 8c | 1,632$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…fa80backed Yes | 2c | 1,611$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 3c | 1,513$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 1,428$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…b244backed Yes | 4c | 1,310$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 27c | 1,265$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 20c | 1,257$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 1,250$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked No | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.