Olympics · resolved market
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeaa7932b51ce74186dc0fb1af2c20294d58d6ace29e4c15e0f8ad13a2d5191d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,830,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,265,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,830,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 19c | 78,200$14,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,645.3 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 5c | 46,538$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 78c | 33,683$26,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,556.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 14c | 31,640$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 12c | 31,244$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 30,083$24,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,038.28 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 9c | 26,888$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 70c | 22,804$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 11c | 22,000$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 24c | 21,582$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 74c | 21,000$15,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Yes | 71c | 20,351$14,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 18,808$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.23 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 74c | 18,752$13,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 79c | 17,532$13,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 13c | 16,214$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed No | 2c | 14,692$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 71c | 13,215$9,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 27c | 12,832$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked No | 2c | 12,754$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 72c | 11,657$8,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 65c | 11,504$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 25c | 11,029$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 11c | 9,401$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 73c | 8,897$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…8e5ebacked No | 5c | 8,192$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 15c | 8,130$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.41 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 27c | 7,954$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.21 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 76c | 7,656$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 71c | 6,803$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 2c | 6,650$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 66c | 6,551$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 17c | 6,332$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 6,222$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 80c | 6,205$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 6,124$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.59 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed No | 8c | 5,613$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 75c | 5,598$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 72c | 5,500$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,418$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Yes | 76c | 5,252$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 2c | 5,213$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 4c | 5,145$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9260backed Yes | 71c | 4,700$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 22c | 4,567$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…5184backed Yes | 79c | 4,567$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83e…0f4bbacked No | 21c | 4,358$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 78c | 4,267$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed No | 6c | 4,200$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 68c | 4,107$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked Yes | 62c | 4,021$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…eb07backed No | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…9836backed Yes | 67c | 3,923$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 5c | 3,783$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 73c | 3,297$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…52b9backed Yes | 79c | 3,283$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 23c | 3,207$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed No | 4c | 3,190$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 23c | 3,148$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.49 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked No | 29c | 3,122$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 2,999$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed No | 1c | 2,994$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 29c | 2,777$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…96e5backed No | 13c | 2,657$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 26c | 2,625$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 70c | 2,587$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 67c | 2,557$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,541$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 62c | 2,538$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 64c | 2,424$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Yes | 79c | 2,391$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 2,344$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…8a8ebacked No | 37c | 2,240$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 67c | 2,204$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked No | 11c | 2,198$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…d7abbacked No | 5c | 2,195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…bf2abacked Yes | 79c | 2,042$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…0dd6backed No | 21c | 2,036$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…cbf4backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 26c | 1,994$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 6c | 1,950$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked No | 12c | 1,868$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 73c | 1,819$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…8001backed Yes | 71c | 1,801$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 20c | 1,800$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 22c | 1,744$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 77c | 1,742$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 79c | 1,734$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.