Olympics · resolved market
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f5b304cb95b030e0a2584b9056e5c0d05bc9fd95df3046c9043cd49ebad6a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $941,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 47,341$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.99 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 35,319$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 0c | 31,291$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 2c | 26,577$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 3c | 24,192$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 23,059$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 2c | 15,166$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 3c | 13,416$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 13,365$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…5ef0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 4c | 11,994$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.55 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 1c | 10,927$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 1c | 10,599$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 10,537$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.71 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 10,046$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4280backed Yes | 3c | 9,851$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 9,557$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 9,267$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,866$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…4185backed Yes | 4c | 8,758$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 2c | 7,977$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,635$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 1c | 6,798$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 4c | 6,371$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.49 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 3c | 5,913$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…2bc9backed Yes | 2c | 5,554$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…ea21backed Yes | 2c | 5,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 4c | 5,044$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 3c | 4,993$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…adb9backed Yes | 2c | 4,826$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b6fbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 4,452$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 5c | 4,423$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 3c | 4,222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 2c | 4,011$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…9b59backed Yes | 3c | 3,804$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…4792backed Yes | 1c | 3,736$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,665$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 3,633$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…0508backed Yes | 3c | 3,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…375bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,141$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 3c | 3,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 2c | 2,932$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,680$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,332$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 2,274$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,271$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 2c | 2,218$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…82a6backed Yes | 5c | 2,198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…7b41backed Yes | 4c | 2,039$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,036$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,983$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…71a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,949$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,939$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed Yes | 3c | 1,869$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…536ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,865$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,864$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…ebd1backed Yes | 5c | 1,860$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,671$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…f433backed Yes | 1c | 1,660$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,658$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,526$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…4c79backed Yes | 1c | 1,425$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 1c | 1,377$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…bef8backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…a21dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,287$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…bd6abacked Yes | 5c | 1,257$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,213$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…e080backed Yes | 3c | 1,162$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 1,161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…316abacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…554bbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…cae8backed Yes | 2c | 977$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…9cf3backed Yes | 3c | 972.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…643cbacked Yes | 3c | 907.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 2c | 894.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…9c36backed Yes | 1c | 887.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…a733backed Yes | 2c | 863.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 2c | 827.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 5c | 826.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…0c7fbacked Yes | 1c | 817.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…70e3backed Yes | 2c | 799.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…3aa4backed Yes | 4c | 799.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…5931backed Yes | 4c | 786.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…cd93backed Yes | 2c | 779$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…bfd7backed Yes | 1c | 771.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…dffbbacked Yes | 1c | 756.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…d844backed Yes | 3c | 755.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.