AI · resolved market
OpenAI browser by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25e15f39f776813870ee363ed483451add1c55dad163b18bdb2df653be2c90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,507,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,747,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,507,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 78c | 167,871$131,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,328.28 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 71c | 142,625$100,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,920.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed No | 3c | 134,790$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…2609backed Yes | 64c | 114,852$73,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,526.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 26c | 84,944$21,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,801.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 38c | 82,527$30,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,974.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 13c | 78,654$10,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,355.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…9177backed No | 23c | 71,718$16,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,564.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed No | 29c | 70,580$20,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,208.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 26c | 70,287$18,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,080.54 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 23c | 69,895$15,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,996.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 37c | 67,846$24,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,884.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…9886backed Yes | 49c | 66,052$32,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,883.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 49c | 61,487$30,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,106.73 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…73fabacked No | 3c | 60,634$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…5c3cbacked No | 9c | 56,688$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…f8cdbacked No | 47c | 53,703$24,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,989.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…48e2backed Yes | 73c | 48,265$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,264.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 72c | 47,954$34,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,381.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…0a1bbacked Yes | 44c | 46,257$20,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,079.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…5fc0backed Yes | 38c | 45,202$17,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,066.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed No | 20c | 44,483$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 19c | 43,309$8,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e6e6backed Yes | 41c | 39,859$16,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,501.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…12f6backed No | 4c | 39,625$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 62c | 38,690$24,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,636 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 79c | 38,590$30,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.62 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 6c | 38,422$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.09 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…3499backed No | 20c | 38,392$7,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,626.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…b9b3backed Yes | 61c | 35,351$21,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,952.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…1a1abacked No | 32c | 33,485$10,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,779.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 12c | 33,090$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…7526backed No | 5c | 32,471$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 10c | 31,675$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 39c | 30,907$12,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,198.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked No | 2c | 30,748$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…6bc3backed No | 7c | 30,277$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…cc7abacked No | 8c | 30,254$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 2c | 30,149$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…da24backed Yes | 40c | 30,143$11,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,189.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…ae61backed Yes | 37c | 29,410$11,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,392.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 25c | 28,750$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…46ebbacked No | 18c | 27,499$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 68c | 26,993$18,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,655.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…e8dcbacked Yes | 77c | 26,136$20,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 72c | 24,418$17,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.29 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ba…e4cbbacked Yes | 50c | 23,333$11,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,567 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 35c | 23,163$8,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,172.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 6c | 22,826$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…578abacked Yes | 75c | 22,538$17,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…d423backed No | 27c | 21,559$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed No | 6c | 21,370$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…a713backed No | 29c | 20,848$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 1c | 20,413$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7457…13f0backed No | 0c | 20,313$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…48bdbacked No | 25c | 20,076$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…4114backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 4c | 20,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…f954backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…964dbacked No | 22c | 18,987$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 18,303$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.43 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 56c | 18,280$10,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,984.01 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed No | 21c | 18,231$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…f4e3backed Yes | 42c | 18,173$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,502.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 33c | 17,704$5,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,817.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…490dbacked Yes | 55c | 17,379$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 4c | 16,000$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 7c | 15,899$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…c561backed No | 63c | 15,751$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 46c | 15,747$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…7274backed No | 24c | 15,692$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…4e95backed No | 4c | 15,589$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 29c | 15,182$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 16c | 14,860$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…3e21backed No | 3c | 14,706$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…8cc7backed No | 15c | 14,494$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…4c5ebacked No | 20c | 14,106$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4dbfbacked No | 50c | 13,997$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 54c | 13,981$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 45c | 13,817$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,163.93 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…f5a9backed No | 38c | 13,650$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…6b2ebacked No | 13c | 13,534$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 26c | 13,222$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked No | 50c | 13,181$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 19c | 13,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed No | 40c | 12,905$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 37c | 12,585$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.16 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…be55backed No | 16c | 12,465$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed No | 45c | 12,395$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…79bcbacked No | 23c | 12,227$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…8064backed Yes | 33c | 12,222$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,174.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 53c | 12,179$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e4…5557backed No | 0c | 12,080$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…a0b9backed No | 15c | 11,705$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 79c | 11,693$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…cadcbacked No | 13c | 11,530$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 35c | 11,455$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…0eadbacked No | 10c | 11,341$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…0219backed Yes | 47c | 11,066$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.