Token Launches · resolved market
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2961c5c9fdf89e689d0d232927f9e0fb4083bbcc4cd88ab2b14e3af827fb62d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,824,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,511,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,824,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 13c | 783,079$97,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,897.62 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 12c | 599,702$74,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,363.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed Yes | 5c | 374,109$17,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,092.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 14c | 310,672$44,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,008.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 5c | 309,302$16,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,722.84 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…ee64backed Yes | 5c | 273,757$13,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,981.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked Yes | 18c | 248,393$44,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,823.55 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 8c | 235,612$18,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,274.7 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 15c | 230,000$33,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,739.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 12c | 224,829$25,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,887.94 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…f0fbbacked No | 76c | 206,445$157,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,056.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…8973backed Yes | 6c | 179,264$11,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,348.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…c20bbacked Yes | 22c | 171,950$37,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,806.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 13c | 158,765$20,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,584.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 16c | 138,672$22,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,233.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 5c | 137,427$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaf…c6b6backed No | 76c | 132,032$99,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,149.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 45c | 123,190$55,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,208.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…674fbacked No | 77c | 120,985$93,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,639.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 4c | 120,935$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…7eaabacked Yes | 1c | 120,058$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…923dbacked Yes | 1c | 110,276$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…a27bbacked Yes | 19c | 110,201$21,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,434.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 21c | 106,410$21,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,867.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…ee14backed Yes | 1c | 101,892$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed No | 76c | 101,343$77,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,064.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…20f7backed Yes | 25c | 97,935$24,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,949.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0c…7923backed No | 79c | 96,881$76,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,926.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…83ebbacked Yes | 3c | 96,378$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 7c | 95,321$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 75c | 91,951$69,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,544.54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked Yes | 14c | 85,001$11,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,890.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…a986backed Yes | 25c | 81,821$20,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,455.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…755fbacked Yes | 48c | 73,552$35,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,188.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…4da0backed No | 75c | 67,942$51,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,701.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 79c | 65,545$51,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,877.37 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…d9fabacked Yes | 0c | 64,047$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 63,350$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked No | 57c | 62,000$35,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,664.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Yes | 1c | 52,724$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…c665backed Yes | 12c | 50,621$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…70aebacked Yes | 17c | 50,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 75c | 48,867$36,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,362.63 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 12c | 48,681$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79f…2fecbacked Yes | 25c | 48,280$11,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,839.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 10c | 48,143$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.64 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 78c | 47,992$37,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes | 70c | 47,510$33,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,256.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Yes | 6c | 46,000$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8100backed Yes | 29c | 44,466$12,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,874.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 6c | 41,333$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…d4f3backed No | 56c | 40,971$22,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,221.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…f1c9backed Yes | 1c | 40,501$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…c7b1backed Yes | 6c | 40,385$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…66b6backed Yes | 25c | 40,000$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…da04backed Yes | 26c | 40,000$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,369.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…7250backed No | 76c | 39,900$30,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 20c | 39,831$7,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 39,548$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.09 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked No | 75c | 39,523$29,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,904.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 5c | 39,375$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…2e9ebacked Yes | 0c | 39,091$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…e75fbacked Yes | 10c | 38,646$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 25c | 38,583$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked No | 78c | 37,395$28,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,411.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…5a2bbacked Yes | 25c | 37,077$9,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,185.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 36,100$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…5262backed No | 70c | 35,507$24,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,565.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 26c | 35,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 28c | 34,998$9,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,811.49 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…ed2abacked Yes | 28c | 34,764$9,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,882.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 45c | 34,523$15,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,960.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…6f12backed No | 75c | 34,110$25,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…3591backed Yes | 6c | 34,104$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…a0a9backed Yes | 28c | 33,006$9,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…8b36backed Yes | 42c | 32,500$13,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,494.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked No | 73c | 31,557$23,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 15c | 31,355$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…e141backed Yes | 1c | 30,849$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…b7b7backed No | 75c | 30,590$22,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…28bfbacked Yes | 24c | 30,025$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…eb83backed No | 80c | 28,599$22,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +191.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 17c | 28,455$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 76c | 28,249$21,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 8c | 28,170$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 27,507$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.5 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 49c | 27,205$13,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,820.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…0841backed Yes | 6c | 27,090$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked No | 74c | 25,701$19,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…2fa7backed Yes | 33c | 25,639$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,518.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 48c | 25,510$12,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,263.93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 1c | 25,231$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…c459backed Yes | 5c | 24,265$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 12c | 23,690$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.82 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…d5bfbacked Yes | 9c | 23,456$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…e286backed Yes | 1c | 23,209$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…5652backed No | 60c | 22,900$13,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,062.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked Yes | 11c | 22,612$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6245backed Yes | 28c | 22,050$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?this page
- Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
- Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.