Token Launches · resolved market
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7f931bae267667f1f0af67bbd55ae5bdc12fafdb1b343511ac0e31eba87664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,025,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,478,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,025,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 2c | 565,807$11,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,409.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 4c | 200,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 148,279$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,960.76 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…c20bbacked Yes | 5c | 86,584$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 61,287$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.12 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,510$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…d5b0backed Yes | 1c | 27,438$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 7c | 25,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…fe44backed Yes | 7c | 24,164$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 4c | 21,310$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…0656backed Yes | 1c | 19,170$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,051$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…3013backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…bf08backed Yes | 8c | 14,357$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…175dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,737$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,402$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…923dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,311$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 2c | 11,684$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 1c | 11,635$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…fd92backed Yes | 4c | 11,350$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 11,176$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 3c | 11,111$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked No | 78c | 10,215$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1d…cefebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…3591backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…e04dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,069$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,967$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 18c | 8,583$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…07f3backed Yes | 36c | 8,418$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 8,416$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…e943backed Yes | 1c | 8,028$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 71c | 7,475$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.76 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…97d3backed Yes | 21c | 7,165$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4559backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…90cfbacked Yes | 4c | 6,978$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…a0a9backed Yes | 9c | 6,800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…0308backed Yes | 2c | 6,721$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…5637backed Yes | 6c | 6,665$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 6,310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…9262backed Yes | 0c | 6,275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Yes | 8c | 6,247$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,012$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…da04backed Yes | 6c | 6,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…0567backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…4f62backed Yes | 5c | 5,700$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,514$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 5,371$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8100backed Yes | 13c | 5,165$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…d078backed Yes | 1c | 5,067$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…ef04backed Yes | 6c | 4,903$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…6841backed Yes | 11c | 4,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…0099backed Yes | 6c | 4,527$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…533fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,393$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 1c | 4,312$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 19c | 4,193$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…a44abacked Yes | 8c | 3,857$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…34d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,715$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…00f4backed Yes | 4c | 3,668$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,599$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +295.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…463fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,428$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed Yes | 21c | 3,367$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 3c | 3,200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…a40fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,198$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…b550backed Yes | 1c | 3,185$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce7…07e8backed Yes | 3c | 3,162$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…7b9ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,160$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…54fdbacked Yes | 29c | 3,102$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…07fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 2,787$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.39 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 28c | 2,741$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 7c | 2,681$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 0c | 2,486$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…e902backed Yes | 20c | 2,483$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…bedebacked Yes | 20c | 2,453$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 17c | 2,310$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked No | 66c | 2,306$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,222$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…7e4abacked Yes | 11c | 2,197$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Yes | 7c | 2,188$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…02bdbacked Yes | 23c | 2,161$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…0c95backed Yes | 25c | 2,159$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 2,092$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…a417backed Yes | 4c | 2,090$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…40a4backed Yes | 2c | 2,054$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Yes | 7c | 2,050$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…31a3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…b37ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,971$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…a753backed Yes | 3c | 1,969$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…40fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,946$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 26c | 1,917$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…a192backed Yes | 6c | 1,915$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?this page
- Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
- Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
- Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes won
- Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.