Us Politics · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890671f885d08307a469257093597c6973d7833089b0cc3c263018fabf96655a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,843,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,835,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,843,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0c0…2d97backed Yes | 2c | 249,174$5,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 20c | 134,755$26,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,712 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Yes | 3c | 88,411$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 85,376$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.58 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…256abacked Yes | 1c | 60,940$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 4c | 53,697$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.1 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 1c | 52,969$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…d76abacked Yes | 5c | 44,336$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 4c | 43,629$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 76c | 35,928$27,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,727.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd2…3efbbacked Yes | 2c | 34,252$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…597ebacked Yes | 1c | 32,801$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…f49bbacked Yes | 5c | 28,859$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 22c | 27,488$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 5c | 25,067$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 4c | 24,227$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…a9e7backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…dd2abacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 13c | 22,572$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8995…8899backed Yes | 1c | 22,379$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7451…8e8abacked Yes | 0c | 22,280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 4c | 21,151$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…e8acbacked Yes | 2c | 21,032$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…f73fbacked Yes | 4c | 20,035$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…a4cbbacked Yes | 1c | 18,851$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 18,774$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.81 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 6c | 17,790$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…154abacked Yes | 1c | 16,587$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…9e9dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,856$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…11dbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,474$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed Yes | 10c | 15,130$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…d2d1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…dbaabacked Yes | 0c | 14,023$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 3c | 13,112$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 79c | 12,873$10,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 3c | 12,768$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…2b4abacked Yes | 0c | 12,095$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…4a12backed Yes | 1c | 11,104$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…ec07backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes | 20c | 8,882$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +303%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…4c9abacked Yes | 1c | 8,389$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 8c | 8,329$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…6bc9backed Yes | 0c | 8,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…2096backed Yes | 4c | 8,203$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…268abacked Yes | 1c | 7,874$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…fd67backed Yes | 0c | 7,613$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 6c | 7,081$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.77 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 6c | 7,050$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Yes | 7c | 6,839$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Yes | 10c | 6,713$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…b0cfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,629$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 9c | 6,472$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.95 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 3c | 6,470$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 9c | 6,314$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 5c | 6,287$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 6,154$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 48c | 6,003$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 5c | 5,800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 2c | 5,730$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed Yes | 3c | 5,633$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…df4abacked Yes | 11c | 5,618$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,610$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…691ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,291$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 0c | 5,151$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…1283backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…b029backed Yes | 10c | 4,933$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…9d7ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,624$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…8c42backed Yes | 14c | 4,604$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 6c | 4,511$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…239fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,398$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…1698backed Yes | 7c | 4,035$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…0cadbacked Yes | 5c | 4,026$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 7c | 4,006$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…9891backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…2468backed Yes | 1c | 3,999$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,908$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…8a6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43db…9871backed Yes | 13c | 3,895$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…8738backed Yes | 3c | 3,830$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…d607backed Yes | 4c | 3,819$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +268.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 21c | 3,819$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,730$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…0e66backed Yes | 2c | 3,700$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 2c | 3,699$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,601$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 9c | 3,539$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…138ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,445$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…d8fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,287$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…b0f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…7b90backed Yes | 2c | 3,057$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 79c | 3,055$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.17 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.