Token Launches · resolved market
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1969336d8e12324b9a396aa974b1ecbfd9cdb0f25c1e264ed90d51cb29b4a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 46,655$37,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,576.34 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked No | 68c | 22,504$15,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,335.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…a857backed No | 75c | 18,485$13,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,863.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…729abacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 30c | 9,500$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.95 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 63c | 9,414$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.79 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 27c | 9,288$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 30c | 9,110$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5e28backed Yes | 42c | 8,885$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 74c | 8,364$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed No | 55c | 7,976$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…5673backed No | 61c | 7,907$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 29c | 7,820$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.79 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 39c | 7,748$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.53 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 37c | 7,736$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.07 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 34c | 7,256$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…6e94backed No | 70c | 6,203$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 67c | 6,032$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed No | 68c | 4,918$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 51c | 4,885$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.79 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Yes | 40c | 4,703$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…f7e6backed No | 52c | 3,881$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 65c | 3,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 14c | 3,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed No | 67c | 3,481$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…f030backed No | 62c | 3,400$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…d0e8backed Yes | 15c | 3,327$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 51c | 3,298$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,156$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.43 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 26c | 3,152$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed No | 64c | 2,870$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…27a2backed No | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 48c | 2,712$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…aae9backed No | 30c | 2,455$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…7cf2backed Yes | 38c | 2,448$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 23c | 2,375$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.22 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 36c | 2,200$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Yes | 23c | 2,064$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,056$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.11 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 72c | 2,046$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…3c4fbacked No | 59c | 2,020$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…2820backed No | 58c | 1,978$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,915$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed No | 71c | 1,841$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…c13bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,806$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 1c | 1,772$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,771$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.32 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…2c59backed No | 57c | 1,741$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…7a5bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,704$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…7ec2backed Yes | 35c | 1,661$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 79c | 1,604$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 72c | 1,543$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.18 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6c…00b9backed Yes | 37c | 1,533$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…ee58backed No | 67c | 1,504$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 40c | 1,489$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…75cfbacked No | 69c | 1,484$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…0b4bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,433$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,396$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed Yes | 34c | 1,378$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.36 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…7702backed No | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…1140backed No | 76c | 1,320$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fb…b06dbacked No | 66c | 1,315$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed Yes | 31c | 1,266$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 50c | 1,258$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 61c | 1,232$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…c5d3backed Yes | 30c | 1,174$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 17cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed No | 78c | 1,157$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…63f0backed No | 20c | 1,111$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…e509backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fd…750ebacked No | 68c | 1,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 32c | 996.35$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 42c | 918.56$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…0009backed No | 44c | 914.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed No | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…f93dbacked No | 64c | 900$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 56c | 896.77$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 41c | 887.7$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe765…603cbacked Yes | 50c | 848.22$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…ba17backed No | 69c | 845.4$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 845.29$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…9ae7backed Yes | 68c | 831.03$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 57c | 825.26$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…03e3backed Yes | 56c | 825$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…5899backed Yes | 51c | 805.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed No | 8c | 800.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 19c | 800$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…6601backed No | 64c | 797.58$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes | 28c | 792.4$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…b85abacked Yes | 40c | 756.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 36c | 750$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.56 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 70c | 742.4$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 738.1$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.73 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…0e40backed No | 7c | 738.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 21c | 735.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.