Token Launches · resolved market
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5b3a0b390c34cd0b89cdb3b67158bdcf6cb29d73eb17fd9dfafb9e50a4bb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,839,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,674,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,839,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,039 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…a4e7backed Yes | 68c | 144,175$98,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,887.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed Yes | 32c | 72,206$23,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,985.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed Yes | 49c | 57,428$28,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,405.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 45c | 56,875$25,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,390.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed Yes | 57c | 54,565$31,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,262 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…9d55backed No | 0c | 52,888$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked No | 60c | 46,404$27,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,891.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 63c | 45,975$28,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,986.52 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 43c | 45,050$19,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,151.18 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…ae5abacked No | 44c | 44,497$19,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,728.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…5201backed Yes | 60c | 43,424$25,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,438.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 1c | 43,040$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…4894backed No | 0c | 42,688$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…5673backed No | 8c | 41,917$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…2483backed No | 39c | 40,623$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,745.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…c2d4backed No | 14c | 39,882$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…6e94backed No | 1c | 33,721$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 55c | 32,473$17,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,778.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…8bf8backed No | 20c | 31,595$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed No | 0c | 31,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 2c | 28,442$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.09 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 71c | 28,140$20,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.21 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 16c | 24,655$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.59 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…716fbacked Yes | 65c | 24,515$15,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,661.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 37c | 22,459$8,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,382.04 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…9994backed No | 51c | 22,028$11,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,139.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 20c | 21,932$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,629.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 47c | 21,557$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 31c | 19,752$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,603.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 49c | 18,151$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,851.34 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…8c1cbacked Yes | 39c | 17,956$7,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,897.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 37c | 17,838$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.55 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed No | 23c | 16,638$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…133fbacked Yes | 77c | 16,547$12,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked No | 48c | 16,490$7,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,837.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 55c | 16,309$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.54 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…67b3backed Yes | 62c | 16,104$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed No | 37c | 15,781$5,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,801.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 73c | 14,752$10,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,766.61 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e17…33f3backed Yes | 69c | 13,264$9,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Yes | 62c | 12,996$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 46c | 12,871$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 23c | 12,507$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.73 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 76c | 12,193$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 22c | 12,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 11,959$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 11,834$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.13 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…f7e6backed No | 20c | 11,563$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 69c | 11,321$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…eef6backed Yes | 37c | 11,276$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…d483backed No | 44c | 11,260$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 51c | 11,057$5,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.53 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked No | 4c | 11,029$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 59c | 10,932$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.05 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…185cbacked Yes | 20c | 10,675$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,543.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +266.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…218ebacked No | 46c | 10,481$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 12c | 10,208$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 60c | 9,972$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac5…c905backed No | 45c | 9,933$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 46c | 9,888$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 59c | 9,776$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 65c | 9,759$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…0367backed No | 27c | 9,516$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…3fb2backed No | 71c | 9,266$6,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed No | 53c | 9,257$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 52c | 9,256$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.02 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…3dc2backed No | 25c | 9,113$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…b010backed Yes | 35c | 9,042$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked No | 58c | 8,830$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,077.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed No | 79c | 8,817$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…bacabacked Yes | 49c | 8,234$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…7cdcbacked No | 31c | 7,983$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed No | 23c | 7,957$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…df8abacked Yes | 25c | 7,945$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 36c | 7,698$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.84 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 20c | 7,547$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.29 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 59c | 7,280$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed No | 59c | 7,200$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked No | 20c | 7,183$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 20c | 7,151$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 21c | 7,096$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.96 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked No | 67c | 7,079$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 22c | 6,970$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 36c | 6,822$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…eaf2backed Yes | 35c | 6,788$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed No | 38c | 6,714$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…b05abacked No | 17c | 6,641$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…5be2backed Yes | 78c | 6,433$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.39 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -92%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed No | 19c | 6,427$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6ed5backed No | 75c | 6,225$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…a2f5backed Yes | 51c | 6,138$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked No | 66c | 6,078$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…ce64backed Yes | 21c | 6,060$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +281%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…11e3backed No | 47c | 6,000$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 17c | 5,900$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 19c | 5,462$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.83 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 76c | 5,450$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.