Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4d8a785fe53037f3baab38e0551292baf02e89835acf4d530ac81a44705b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $662,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $662,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf89…8f83backed Yes | 7c | 26,824$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 7c | 21,992$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 19,896$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.21 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…bacabacked Yes | 5c | 18,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes | 3c | 17,327$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 1c | 16,650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 2c | 14,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 3c | 13,630$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 3c | 13,135$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.42 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 4c | 12,703$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 12,111$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.64 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…e577backed Yes | 3c | 11,883$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…2979backed Yes | 3c | 10,059$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…5be2backed Yes | 13c | 8,101$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -92%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 1c | 7,769$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 6,958$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 2c | 5,752$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…79adbacked Yes | 9c | 5,724$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,266$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…4524backed Yes | 3c | 4,813$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,700$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 3,791$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,772$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,556$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 3c | 3,495$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 3,472$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 3,440$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 2c | 3,413$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…1d20backed Yes | 5c | 3,083$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 3,056$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…7f98backed Yes | 3c | 3,025$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…0e40backed Yes | 7c | 2,979$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 3c | 2,970$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…9eabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,889$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 7c | 2,879$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,831$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…c5d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,775$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 17cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,770$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…4d03backed Yes | 3c | 2,703$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 2c | 2,673$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,604$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,555$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 1c | 2,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…cbfbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,255$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,216$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871b…eef6backed Yes | 2c | 2,195$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed Yes | 6c | 2,025$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 79c | 2,009$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.19 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…a8edbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5e28backed Yes | 3c | 1,864$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,765$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,732$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,643$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1b53backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,436$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,380$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed Yes | 3c | 1,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,362$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…3293backed Yes | 2c | 1,331$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…66cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,289$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 4c | 1,171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed Yes | 9c | 1,151$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…403ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,122$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 1,103$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…2825backed Yes | 2c | 1,071$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…09fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,055$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 21c | 1,024$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…691dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 5c | 976.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…0095backed Yes | 9c | 916.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed Yes | 2c | 915.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed Yes | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 877.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 20c | 863$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 80c | 863$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 3c | 857.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…fdffbacked Yes | 2c | 805.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 78c | 805$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Yes | 4c | 801.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 748.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6939backed Yes | 5c | 700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 20c | 652$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.