Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57df09fa28c2201c72cd673e6cb8a84055514b2f43c81d10b8e3b49c713b284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $922,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $922,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 22c | 38,713$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,668.71 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 24c | 25,752$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed Yes | 11c | 22,906$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed Yes | 14c | 19,998$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes | 11c | 17,091$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 19c | 14,315$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.43 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 76c | 13,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 17c | 10,815$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.57 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd803…3670backed Yes | 20c | 10,700$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 75c | 10,384$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.42 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…eaf2backed Yes | 10c | 10,160$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 6c | 9,586$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,349$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.32 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 14c | 8,066$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…8e32backed No | 74c | 7,623$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…ba33backed Yes | 20c | 7,342$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5e28backed Yes | 18c | 6,931$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a4e7backed Yes | 19c | 6,798$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…8f83backed Yes | 23c | 6,663$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 4c | 6,616$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…218ebacked No | 71c | 6,411$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 24c | 6,364$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.36 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 79c | 6,000$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…df8abacked Yes | 7c | 5,456$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed No | 76c | 5,294$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 74c | 5,096$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.37 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 25c | 4,881$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 6c | 4,761$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 10c | 4,709$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed Yes | 27c | 4,556$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed No | 72c | 4,146$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.5 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…5be2backed Yes | 29c | 3,854$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -92%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 3,826$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.32 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb95…1758backed No | 71c | 3,680$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…0ebdbacked Yes | 29c | 3,680$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,662$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…6c01backed No | 79c | 3,650$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…92e2backed No | 80c | 3,550$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…9656backed No | 80c | 3,500$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…7283backed Yes | 12c | 3,467$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…323cbacked No | 68c | 3,327$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 3,265$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…9994backed No | 70c | 3,247$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…d48bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,241$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,164$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…bacabacked Yes | 19c | 3,089$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…03e3backed Yes | 19c | 3,034$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 2,942$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.61 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked No | 68c | 2,914$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,910$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…33d1backed No | 73c | 2,900$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…083bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,852$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…79adbacked Yes | 23c | 2,807$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed Yes | 20c | 2,706$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,700$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 77c | 2,603$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 17c | 2,595$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…d2fbbacked No | 78c | 2,550$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…2c59backed No | 66c | 2,493$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,488$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 2,479$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 65c | 2,400$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 77c | 2,222$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 15c | 2,217$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…9a26backed No | 77c | 2,133$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…3fb2backed No | 74c | 2,127$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.24 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,100$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,066$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 27c | 2,054$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Yes | 15c | 2,050$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…7df5backed Yes | 18c | 2,034$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 69c | 2,011$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…3c4fbacked No | 76c | 1,962$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,960$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,952$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…c4e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,900$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…0470backed Yes | 12c | 1,889$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…c2ddbacked No | 73c | 1,868$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0379backed Yes | 27c | 1,831$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,829$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,799$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed Yes | 64c | 1,667$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 80c | 1,656$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 1,630$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 75c | 1,592$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 15c | 1,575$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…729abacked No | 52c | 1,571$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 23c | 1,559$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.1 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 20c | 1,556$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1b53backed Yes | 6c | 1,550$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…5373backed No | 73c | 1,512$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…160abacked Yes | 13c | 1,499$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…1d20backed Yes | 40c | 1,437$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 67c | 1,405$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…2483backed No | 80c | 1,403$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.