Token Launches · resolved market
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0421dcb546d36a1e76e80ea1ac0d82d87b117e7f019d1da5e6f08f9c94b5da38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked No | 1c | 65,588$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 6c | 22,611$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…0e5cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 4c | 18,951$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 24c | 18,336$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.65 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 11c | 18,160$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.65 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…9994backed No | 38c | 16,396$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 1c | 14,964$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 0c | 14,679$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 21c | 12,064$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.46 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 62c | 11,374$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.98 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 1c | 11,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 77c | 10,174$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 3c | 10,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…36d7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…4fe9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 63c | 9,897$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.78 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…5201backed Yes | 56c | 5,992$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 33c | 5,550$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.02 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 38c | 5,129$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.89 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…37e7backed No | 14c | 4,950$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 4,607$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…b010backed Yes | 74c | 4,155$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed No | 52c | 4,080$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 3,943$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 60c | 3,600$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…39a3backed No | 37c | 3,378$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 3c | 3,203$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked No | 3c | 3,117$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 74c | 3,080$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 4c | 3,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 3c | 2,910$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 4c | 2,850$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…a87ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,825$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 16c | 2,783$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.97 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…403ebacked No | 40c | 2,637$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 68c | 2,578$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…1c8dbacked No | 28c | 2,450$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 70c | 2,450$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…2529backed No | 10c | 2,420$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 2,335$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.91 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…ba17backed No | 36c | 2,331$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed No | 37c | 2,296$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 2,140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.31 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…679abacked No | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5e28backed Yes | 79c | 1,990$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cd…bbd5backed No | 1c | 1,923$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…b67abacked No | 1c | 1,900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…5373backed No | 1c | 1,828$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 1c | 1,674$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 1,502$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…e711backed No | 3c | 1,485$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…cb6abacked No | 45c | 1,472$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 60c | 1,469$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.56 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 60c | 1,370$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked No | 19c | 1,353$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed No | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…eaf2backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed No | 9c | 1,270$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a68dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…53bebacked Yes | 65c | 1,149$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6923backed Yes | 59c | 1,124$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed No | 26c | 1,102$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 3c | 1,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…438bbacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Yes | 77c | 944.63$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 41c | 925.92$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.29 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa3…538dbacked No | 4c | 833.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed No | 29c | 760$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked No | 37c | 701.65$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…3e09backed Yes | 73c | 700$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 10c | 683$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…f015backed Yes | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…1d5bbacked Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +165%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…9ddfbacked No | 45c | 585.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed No | 29c | 579.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 507.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…eff8backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…02ddbacked No | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf4…ee82backed Yes | 68c | 488.11$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb9…d171backed Yes | 67c | 460$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 33c | 450$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 417.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…f3a3backed Yes | 77c | 417.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…668cbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed Yes | 65c | 399.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 19c | 391.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…db89backed Yes | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.