Token Launches · resolved market
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99180dac9fee0c5077b09aa47d0cfd44afb1a8f20fa81d8b02d67e7b08c88b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,158,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,158,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 75c | 31,434$23,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,984.87 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 26,521$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 48c | 26,223$12,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,664.76 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…f53bbacked No | 3c | 26,044$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 41c | 22,864$9,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,340.96 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…5850backed No | 0c | 18,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…5201backed Yes | 43c | 15,015$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 5c | 14,484$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.81 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…c2d4backed No | 3c | 13,524$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21a…8c1cbacked Yes | 39c | 12,312$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,456.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…3ea8backed Yes | 45c | 12,207$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…39a3backed No | 21c | 11,779$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 30c | 11,210$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.38 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked No | 66c | 11,124$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed No | 21c | 10,353$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…36d7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…b760backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed No | 5c | 9,979$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.79 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…03a5backed No | 5c | 9,830$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…c5debacked No | 4c | 9,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 7c | 9,340$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.83 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…6eacbacked No | 5c | 9,074$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 8,816$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 58c | 8,094$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.4 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…5b97backed Yes | 32c | 7,464$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…6936backed Yes | 56c | 7,409$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 14c | 7,151$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed No | 68c | 6,800$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 53c | 6,718$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 30c | 6,224$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 33c | 6,089$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.93 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5255backed Yes | 41c | 5,824$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 12c | 5,645$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.83 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 62c | 5,534$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.7 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 5,495$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…9994backed No | 55c | 5,477$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf4…ee82backed Yes | 75c | 5,465$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed No | 33c | 5,401$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed No | 3c | 5,011$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 42c | 5,007$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…ba33backed Yes | 72c | 4,931$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 34c | 4,898$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.66 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…de99backed No | 14c | 4,841$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed No | 14c | 4,800$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 5c | 4,770$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 32c | 4,490$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…5e28backed Yes | 68c | 4,447$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 4,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…8a95backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed No | 19c | 3,917$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…403ebacked No | 54c | 3,705$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…8f83backed Yes | 41c | 3,459$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…3c4fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,189$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 65c | 3,065$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59a…5bbfbacked Yes | 30c | 2,901$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…6601backed No | 7c | 2,841$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 4c | 2,670$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 2,660$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…2ae7backed No | 27c | 2,622$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 2,607$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 28c | 2,595$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…ba17backed No | 60c | 2,581$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 2,569$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…b87cbacked No | 8c | 2,566$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 63c | 2,520$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.73 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 39c | 2,514$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.9 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed No | 1c | 2,461$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked No | 12c | 2,437$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed No | 16c | 2,410$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 37c | 2,370$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.24 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…81e8backed No | 4c | 2,323$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…c427backed No | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 58c | 2,192$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…643fbacked No | 52c | 2,094$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 2,077$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.06 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,016$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.36 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked No | 67c | 2,008$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…de4cbacked No | 16c | 2,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed No | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 22c | 1,995$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…62e6backed No | 8c | 1,940$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 1c | 1,915$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 7c | 1,900$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 1,893$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 12c | 1,876$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Yes | 30c | 1,843$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 57c | 1,831$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 4c | 1,830$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…2b38backed No | 24c | 1,748$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…c736backed No | 66c | 1,606$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…eaf2backed Yes | 62c | 1,606$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Infinex public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.