Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee850a01c89e60450007c776cadfc16e0068a863826a36e925a9a21a9ec902c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 54c | 15,260$8,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,313.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 64c | 8,752$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.58 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…68dfbacked No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 6,740$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b34…a1b9backed Yes | 40c | 6,020$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…1c1cbacked Yes | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 38c | 5,453$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.61 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 0c | 5,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 64c | 4,594$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.73 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…e313backed No | 60c | 4,520$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 51c | 4,445$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.69 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 18c | 4,242$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.27 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 25c | 3,312$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.06 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 43c | 3,257$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.22 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Yes | 6c | 2,835$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…65a6backed Yes | 10c | 2,240$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed Yes | 30c | 2,140$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 9c | 2,096$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 46c | 2,057$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.02 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 41c | 2,000$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,863$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.19 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2552backed No | 17c | 1,767$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 7c | 1,703$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.38 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…6f83backed Yes | 28c | 1,676$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,577$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 62c | 1,523$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.88 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 35c | 1,502$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.57 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 36c | 1,438$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.74 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 79c | 1,398$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…c399backed Yes | 11c | 1,224$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,173$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…8908backed Yes | 14c | 1,102$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4af2backed Yes | 1c | 1,029$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 77c | 1,025$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.55 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…f158backed No | 13c | 1,021$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +578.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 28c | 993.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.07 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…2acebacked No | 28c | 928.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 76c | 907.56$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 64c | 900$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.36 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 28c | 831.65$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…5482backed Yes | 19c | 800.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 7c | 800.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 49c | 791$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…b000backed Yes | 24c | 773.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed No | 24c | 610.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…db3ebacked Yes | 78c | 600$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 14c | 540$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a655backed Yes | 70c | 522.42$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 13c | 517.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed Yes | 49c | 510.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…773dbacked Yes | 5c | 507.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 2c | 503.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…cd4cbacked No | 20c | 498.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 71c | 491.66$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Yes | 42c | 478.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 4c | 449.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…e2e5backed Yes | 5c | 431.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 27c | 416.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.39 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 29c | 409.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Yes | 60c | 334.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 310.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 60c | 310.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked Yes | 66c | 304.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…a05bbacked Yes | 7c | 294.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 19c | 291$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 15c | 289.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f01abacked Yes | 7c | 288.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed Yes | 9c | 273.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 35c | 273.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…8fb6backed Yes | 46c | 269.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fb…2bd4backed No | 8c | 262.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,212.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…f63dbacked Yes | 79c | 252.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 16c | 251.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 11c | 250$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4ccebacked No | 20c | 240.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…386bbacked No | 24c | 233.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…e03ebacked Yes | 48c | 232.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 48c | 231.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 24c | 224.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…951abacked No | 7c | 213.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +1,986.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed No | 76c | 210.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…a060backed No | 35c | 205.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…f873backed Yes | 39c | 196.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 37c | 195.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 38c | 191.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6c…00b9backed No | 24c | 188.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…7f78backed No | 11c | 184.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +823.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…73b7backed No | 67c | 180.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…ed98backed Yes | 18c | 171.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffb…7cbfbacked Yes | 10c | 153.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…2480backed No | 50c | 145.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…608bbacked Yes | 41c | 143.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.