Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e2fd47f1cd130e4f4ac7015fb6b9e5116fd37f93af787ee5caaba1697593b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43db…9871backed Yes | 27c | 4,240$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 13c | 2,022$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 50c | 1,618$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.11 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,560$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 1,496$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 10c | 1,426$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Yes | 18c | 1,067$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 69c | 983.56$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 78c | 945.08$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 45c | 918.76$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.88 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 870.42$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.66 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…23a7backed Yes | 12c | 810.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…7eefbacked Yes | 11c | 789.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…123fbacked Yes | 3c | 760.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 715.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…11b2backed Yes | 71c | 700$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed No | 54c | 668.23$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…4d77backed Yes | 38c | 657.18$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 65c | 642.22$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…36f4backed No | 78c | 598.57$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 7c | 485.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 404.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…706bbacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 42c | 398.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…6bb5backed Yes | 53c | 392.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 78c | 391.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…fbe8backed No | 71c | 381.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked No | 46c | 319.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 51c | 288.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 56c | 285.45$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 61c | 268$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…c62abacked Yes | 8c | 262.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…175dbacked Yes | 70c | 242.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…9ec3backed Yes | 12c | 241.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed No | 42c | 240$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed No | 42c | 239.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 12c | 226.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed No | 64c | 219.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 9c | 208.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed No | 50c | 192.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…9738backed Yes | 8c | 189.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 59c | 185$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 58c | 181.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…5b00backed Yes | 40c | 179.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…505cbacked Yes | 11c | 166.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…7d5fbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 41c | 134$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 67c | 133.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…2f92backed Yes | 19c | 132.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 51c | 122.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae2…9c8cbacked No | 78c | 120.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…c98abacked Yes | 9c | 117.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 35c | 111.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 20c | 97.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 60c | 90.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa725…996ebacked Yes | 53c | 85.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 59c | 83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 65c | 76.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…9b0dbacked Yes | 27c | 72.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked No | 55c | 72.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…eb87backed Yes | 62c | 70.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9717…ddf3backed Yes | 60c | 69.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 74c | 67.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 62c | 66.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…e97fbacked Yes | 22c | 55.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…4af7backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed No | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…78b7backed No | 30c | 46.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…99c8backed No | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +327.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fd…bd30backed No | 55c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…7fdfbacked No | 48c | 32.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.