Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0514f6ab421997f2a32a92cd87b885225c981e6bd6938707e08b959adc1caf64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 54c | 5,437$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.16 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 15c | 3,126$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.34 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,984$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…94bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,526$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 2,176$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 41c | 2,085$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.48 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,017$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 7c | 1,711$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 61c | 1,579$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes | 12c | 1,410$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 76c | 1,391$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…f7bdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,373$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…65a2backed Yes | 26c | 1,284$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 21c | 1,264$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…a82ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,220$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…5324backed Yes | 1c | 1,196$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…05a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,036$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked Yes | 35c | 974.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 77c | 868.34$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 23c | 868$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.36 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 13c | 821.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 29c | 728.26$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 23c | 585.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 510.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…8ee9backed No | 77c | 510$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…edbdbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 23c | 489.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 24c | 481.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 16c | 474.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…baf5backed No | 71c | 422.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed No | 66c | 393.27$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 19c | 370.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…fd58backed No | 48c | 363.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 319.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…2554backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…ef84backed No | 65c | 305.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…ce05backed Yes | 36c | 294.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 37c | 286.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 24c | 268.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 68c | 265.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 16c | 259.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 23c | 258.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 37c | 238.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 6c | 217.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed Yes | 46c | 202.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…555ebacked No | 66c | 202.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked Yes | 19c | 201.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc6…72e4backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Yes | 16c | 190.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…5426backed No | 62c | 176.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…83debacked No | 69c | 174.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…5c2fbacked No | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed No | 77c | 158.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 31c | 154.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…5262backed Yes | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…4e6bbacked Yes | 34c | 146.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…081cbacked No | 75c | 141.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Yes | 14c | 141.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 78c | 135.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 132.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…d648backed Yes | 27c | 127.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…706abacked No | 68c | 106.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 19c | 104.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 69c | 102.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…21fabacked Yes | 20c | 100.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 47c | 99.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…c7edbacked Yes | 24c | 97.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…b2afbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 53c | 80.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…4d50backed Yes | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…e0c4backed No | 76c | 71.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…2f55backed No | 65c | 64.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked No | 51c | 63.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…68e3backed No | 78c | 62.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb54…2c07backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…9f0ebacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 26c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…30aebacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfd…1c41backed Yes | 39c | 51.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 39c | 51.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked No | 59c | 51.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…07a0backed Yes | 47c | 49.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…b8acbacked No | 64c | 48.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 42cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392e…8589backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 45c | 44.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.