Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622d736aa8e6cd84302dbc61089df9467f173f0b222803eff95ea9d4f459b187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,387$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…a6acbacked No | 52c | 4,718$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…a84ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…780bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,432$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…5550backed No | 52c | 4,214$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…d820backed Yes | 3c | 1,941$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…78b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,930$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,578$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,303$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 57c | 1,301$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed No | 56c | 1,211$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 57c | 1,155$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…4803backed No | 48c | 1,093$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Yes | 44c | 1,049$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 57c | 903$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed No | 57c | 894$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…9802backed No | 70c | 810$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Yes | 18c | 705.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 56c | 699.96$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.98 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 43c | 683$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 56c | 678$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 43c | 668.04$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 56c | 664$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 44c | 647$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 59c | 628.62$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…46a8backed No | 66c | 602$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 21c | 582.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 24c | 538.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 44c | 537$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 48c | 518.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 516.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 43c | 495.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 43c | 475$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a29…df67backed No | 70c | 433.56$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 25c | 421.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 43c | 419$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 43c | 419$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 57c | 419$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked No | 52c | 414.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 63c | 402.02$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes | 43c | 397$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked Yes | 26c | 376.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 56c | 325$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 25c | 320.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…ad9dbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…e56fbacked Yes | 44c | 297.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed No | 36c | 275.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 250.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 67c | 249.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 44c | 242$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Yes | 30c | 241.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…93f0backed No | 46c | 215.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…c924backed Yes | 55c | 215.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…5a58backed No | 56c | 211.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 44c | 204.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 201.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670e…1fc5backed No | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 44c | 173$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed No | 53c | 170.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked Yes | 44c | 167$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked No | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed No | 56c | 151$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 33c | 149.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…2497backed Yes | 68c | 146.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…c01dbacked Yes | 70c | 143.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…c675backed Yes | 70c | 143.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 43c | 137$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…0b9ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…15c4backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…e105backed Yes | 43c | 134.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked Yes | 43c | 127$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 49c | 123.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 36c | 122.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…46bebacked No | 65c | 119.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 57c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…8616backed No | 42c | 115.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed No | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked No | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…48aebacked Yes | 59c | 101.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 37c | 98.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 31c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed No | 57c | 91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…14f5backed No | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 57c | 88.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 45c | 86.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…bddabacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…12a4backed Yes | 47c | 85.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed Yes | 55c | 82.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 19c | 80.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.