TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb26c…5a58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$157.6
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.04
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$246.09
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$78.75
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51.64
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+151.7%+$45.52
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+103.1%+$88.27
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+87.3%+$87.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.