Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8abd2e16448e67a54cdef29c16d7b45d2153c47dda6c0dcb18a955160129b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 37,190$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 9c | 8,866$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 8,564$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.57 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 25c | 8,002$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.31 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…e8cebacked Yes | 14c | 7,106$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 5,651$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 5,172$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 19c | 4,957$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 4,915$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,591$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 11c | 4,582$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.65 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,378$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,974$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1912backed No | 66c | 3,834$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 42c | 3,559$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.22 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 18c | 3,426$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.08 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 8c | 3,002$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 79c | 2,986$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 32c | 2,970$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…102fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,587$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…1316backed Yes | 14c | 2,523$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 27c | 2,494$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,222$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 77c | 2,200$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 60c | 2,126$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…7103backed Yes | 5c | 2,090$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed Yes | 19c | 2,065$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 1,974$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 15c | 1,946$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +107%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 16c | 1,804$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,629$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 1,606$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 9c | 1,498$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 1,431$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 61c | 1,407$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 4c | 1,347$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 14c | 1,284$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 30c | 1,265$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,249$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 54c | 1,138$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 57c | 1,127$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.54 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 33c | 1,120$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 23c | 1,103$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 18c | 1,099$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed No | 70c | 1,098$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 53c | 1,092$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 13c | 1,014$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8db2backed Yes | 8c | 1,006$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…9c40backed Yes | 16c | 974.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 25c | 949.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 40c | 938$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…427cbacked Yes | 62c | 881.65$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 43c | 843.66$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.38 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 38c | 822.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 800.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 75c | 787.72$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…d423backed Yes | 20c | 763.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed No | 79c | 756.29$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…3f6fbacked Yes | 12c | 753.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 66c | 731.87$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 33c | 716.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…b977backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 25c | 665.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 30c | 650.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 629.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…316ebacked Yes | 19c | 597.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 67c | 589.54$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 62c | 582.92$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 17c | 540.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…d98bbacked Yes | 34c | 529.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 37c | 507.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 25c | 502.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6308…36a9backed Yes | 20c | 491.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…a5e3backed Yes | 20c | 484.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 4c | 480$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed Yes | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 76c | 470$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 63c | 466.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 79c | 460.17$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Yes | 59c | 449.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Yes | 6c | 427.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 80c | 422.71$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…5ddabacked Yes | 22c | 412.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 57c | 392.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Yes | 21c | 368.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 58c | 345.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…3295backed Yes | 50c | 344.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…2ab4backed Yes | 6c | 335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…1254backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…a398backed No | 42c | 326.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked No | 46c | 315.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.