TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$973,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,129,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $973,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f09…7884backed Shelton0c116,035$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Shelton10c100,000$9,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,941.66911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Shelton8c60,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.993336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Shelton10c38,500$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Shelton10c28,580$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.0513934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6af…e2dabacked Shelton51c20,300$10,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,35310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ac…b2babacked Sinner49c20,300$9,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,3531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked Shelton8c17,332$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shelton4c13,240$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Shelton5c13,185$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.71,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Shelton5c12,339$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…65d2backed Shelton9c10,929$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.61333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Shelton9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Shelton7c10,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Shelton8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Shelton9c9,759$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.2917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Shelton6c7,876$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Shelton8c7,703$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.258052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Shelton3c7,505$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2322344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Shelton7c7,430$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.772817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shelton3c7,193$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Shelton8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Shelton9c5,011$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9937540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Shelton10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Shelton10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d1…d312backed Shelton7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Shelton8c3,730$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.325428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shelton4c3,683$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.722,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Shelton7c3,669$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.825257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Shelton8c3,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x61e4…61c8backed Shelton9c3,340$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Shelton9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Shelton8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24022344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Shelton8c2,946$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Shelton3c2,852$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8239851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Shelton8c2,236$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.63941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985b…46c4backed Shelton4c2,193$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Shelton3c2,147$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.671936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Shelton9c2,055$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3911343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Shelton9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Shelton9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Shelton10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Shelton9c1,993$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3511037.3%41 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9518…c9e3backed Shelton5c1,761$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.01633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Shelton10c1,699$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.96038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Shelton12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Shelton9c1,581$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.291,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…05f5backed Shelton10c1,534$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca6…a621backed Shelton5c1,520$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Shelton7c1,504$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Shelton8c1,451$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.814930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Shelton7c1,411$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.655040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Shelton11c1,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Shelton4c1,352$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Shelton4c1,263$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.745127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd805…0d78backed Shelton9c1,250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Shelton9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…6a3dbacked Shelton9c1,047$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Shelton9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Shelton10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Shelton6c1,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.258530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Shelton9c999.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shelton8c999.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Shelton9c999.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shelton6c996.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.972,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d81…5d42backed Shelton5c977.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-70.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shelton4c946.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45a7…fdb3backed Shelton5c916.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Shelton8c899.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+213.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Shelton10c867.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2725446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe2…8f71backed Shelton10c836$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked Shelton10c825.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Shelton9c799.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Shelton9c779.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…09afbacked Shelton3c750.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Shelton8c745.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605275%39 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Shelton5c736.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.82,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Shelton4c709.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-69.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…4503backed Shelton7c667.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick22cpaid+122.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Shelton9c625.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2630339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Shelton9c600$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513718.9%7 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Shelton8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Shelton9c599.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ec…f5b5backed Shelton3c599.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Shelton7c599.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.991533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed Shelton5c570.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Shelton4c561.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.652429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Shelton6c544.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0926921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shelton8c536$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2162742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f83…7252backed Shelton3c527.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.436719.4%13 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x640a…f359backed Shelton4c526.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Shelton9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Shelton9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Shelton4c477.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.710456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Shelton5c449.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.876127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Shelton20c445$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9548941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8048…f48dbacked Shelton9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Shelton4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a4…d765backed Shelton3c364.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Shelton10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.