Token Launches · resolved market
Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5106af743d393452a8fd94dea8bb74baec4d91d1144947c04e9b1ebd0d63823f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,239$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…6495backed Yes | 1c | 3,449$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cba…b43fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,082$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,071$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…5a58backed Yes | 5c | 2,703$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…1f7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,568$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…4978backed Yes | 28c | 2,499$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…5aefbacked Yes | 28c | 2,446$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…dc90backed Yes | 26c | 2,414$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a8…c599backed Yes | 28c | 2,382$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…d5ddbacked Yes | 28c | 1,774$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…7bebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,722$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…a880backed Yes | 26c | 1,689$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c95…f83fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,673$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…55ccbacked Yes | 23c | 1,669$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…4eddbacked Yes | 27c | 1,654$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…8c63backed Yes | 27c | 1,652$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…c7fabacked Yes | 27c | 1,617$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…8b81backed Yes | 26c | 1,613$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bce…9c27backed Yes | 28c | 1,601$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…e7d2backed Yes | 26c | 1,583$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…dad3backed Yes | 26c | 1,579$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…6c06backed Yes | 24c | 1,572$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…b1f9backed Yes | 26c | 1,568$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…a175backed Yes | 26c | 1,564$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…f427backed Yes | 27c | 1,561$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…f881backed Yes | 24c | 1,552$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…e1c6backed Yes | 27c | 1,550$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…888cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,549$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…c6d0backed Yes | 25c | 1,533$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…bf12backed Yes | 27c | 1,532$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…2a43backed Yes | 25c | 1,526$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…aa4bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…85a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,493$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f9…985abacked Yes | 26c | 1,475$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…7fbebacked Yes | 27c | 1,435$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…e996backed Yes | 4c | 1,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…0c09backed Yes | 27c | 1,415$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…0723backed Yes | 24c | 1,410$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…24bebacked Yes | 26c | 1,403$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f05fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,367$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…7a3abacked Yes | 26c | 1,338$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…f05dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,314$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…7ba2backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…3d7abacked Yes | 27c | 1,293$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…fcfbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,256$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…3404backed Yes | 28c | 1,241$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bf25backed Yes | 24c | 1,240$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…a6bcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,190$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e42backed Yes | 26c | 1,180$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…7bf4backed Yes | 25c | 1,158$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…d478backed Yes | 27c | 1,124$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…358ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,096$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…efe0backed Yes | 24c | 1,022$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…7f74backed No | 74c | 985.1$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…f634backed No | 74c | 980.7$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…b835backed No | 76c | 978$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…61cbbacked No | 76c | 965.4$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…5822backed No | 76c | 965.3$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280d…7734backed No | 72c | 954$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…4176backed No | 74c | 950.6$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…1554backed No | 74c | 950.1$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…4ea6backed No | 78c | 946$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…746cbacked No | 72c | 936$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 925.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…fd60backed No | 72c | 915$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…0c17backed Yes | 28c | 915$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d4…b291backed No | 72c | 913$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…2cccbacked No | 72c | 913$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c91ebacked No | 74c | 910.4$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…2119backed No | 72c | 910$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…c08ebacked Yes | 28c | 910$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…72e3backed No | 76c | 909$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8beb…7c9ebacked No | 76c | 906$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…1519backed No | 77c | 906$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…c3a7backed No | 76c | 905.1$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…44f2backed No | 72c | 905$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…f3b0backed No | 72c | 901$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…9e57backed No | 76c | 900.1$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…bd82backed No | 74c | 900.1$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…211cbacked No | 74c | 900.1$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…8284backed Yes | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…86e6backed Yes | 28c | 899$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…f3d2backed No | 78c | 894$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc3…b2cdbacked No | 72c | 893$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…2330backed No | 74c | 890.3$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…e99ebacked No | 73c | 888$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…bab4backed No | 73c | 886$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…60a6backed No | 73c | 882$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…155cbacked No | 73c | 882$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec6…fd69backed No | 73c | 881$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…1372backed No | 73c | 881$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…daf4backed No | 74c | 880.5$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…2d10backed No | 76c | 880.1$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…908cbacked No | 76c | 879$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…14fbbacked No | 73c | 876$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…1e2abacked No | 73c | 875$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…583fbacked No | 73c | 875$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…09c5backed No | 74c | 874$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
- Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.