Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirri

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda504ac2d13dea813027626b9af5a1149940b879f1c2c22c7d4b905f999a8f72

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spizzirriof Fonseca, Spizzirri
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $168,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,108 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x779a…ca34backed Spizzirri	38c	30,000$11,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,549.89	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Fonseca	62c	14,840$9,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,200.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spizzirri	62c	8,778$5,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,356.86	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spizzirri	59c	6,959$4,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,864.06	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fonseca	35c	6,672$2,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,334.74	591	51.6%305 W · 286 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Fonseca	38c	6,003$2,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.25	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spizzirri	62c	5,922$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.81	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fonseca	34c	5,015$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.59	6,792	36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Spizzirri	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,099.99	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Fonseca	60c	4,666$2,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,808.46	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Fonseca	62c	4,500$2,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,790	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Fonseca	50c	4,106$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Fonseca	60c	4,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fonseca	0c	3,678$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Fonseca	65c	3,054$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	46	73.9%34 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fonseca	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	443	60%266 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spizzirri	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.99	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Fonseca	63c	2,613$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.6	1,161	44.3%514 W · 647 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Fonseca	24c	2,612$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.99	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fonseca	60c	2,342$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.9	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spizzirri	44c	2,284$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.42	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Spizzirri	37c	2,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Spizzirri	38c	1,953$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.57	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Fonseca	63c	1,626$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.71	375	44.3%166 W · 209 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Spizzirri	37c	1,600$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.48	943	55.7%525 W · 418 L	+22.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Spizzirri	40c	1,423$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.5	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fonseca	62c	1,393$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.37	279	44.1%123 W · 156 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spizzirri	33c	1,391$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.54	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Spizzirri	45c	1,348$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.68	332	56%186 W · 146 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fonseca	30c	1,090$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.26	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Spizzirri	38c	1,048$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.42	198	46%91 W · 107 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Fonseca	47c	1,040$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	89	64%57 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Fonseca	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	442	63.6%281 W · 161 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fonseca	58c	984$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.38	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b48…ecadbacked Fonseca	32c	937.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f2…55aebacked Spizzirri	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fonseca	56c	872.66$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.54	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fonseca	45c	829.99$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.9	1,446	48.8%706 W · 740 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Fonseca	62c	806.45$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	146	63%92 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Spizzirri	52c	732.89$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.89	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spizzirri	36c	715.47$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.11	2,444	51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b4…0f65backed Fonseca	12c	700$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spizzirri	38c	650.09$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.49	223	37.7%84 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Fonseca	60c	647.83$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.7	110	46.4%51 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Spizzirri	39c	641.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.03	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Spizzirri	47c	635.94$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.21	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spizzirri	61c	634.5$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.11	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Fonseca	62c	612.9$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fonseca	45c	577.41$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.32	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Fonseca	7c	555$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	126	31%39 W · 87 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Fonseca	56c	538.84$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	401	41.9%168 W · 233 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Spizzirri	46c	526.34$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.45	2,150	54.1%1,164 W · 986 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Fonseca	64c	500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Fonseca	61c	500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…2fe8backed Fonseca	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb26c…5a58backed Fonseca	63c	390.62$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.09	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Fonseca	63c	350$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	228	40.4%92 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Fonseca	62c	322.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,853	48.4%897 W · 956 L	-32.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Fonseca	62c	320.97$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spizzirri	36c	315$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.6	1,029	33.5%345 W · 684 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Fonseca	62c	272$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.64	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Spizzirri	37c	270.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.27	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Fonseca	40c	264$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.34	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+11.5wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+12%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Spizzirri	62c	254.5$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.4	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spizzirri	37c	250$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.5	430	42.8%184 W · 246 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Spizzirri	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	373	39.1%146 W · 227 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Fonseca	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	296	61.5%182 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Spizzirri	38c	240.85$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.72	190	23.2%44 W · 146 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Fonseca	62c	240.7$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.23	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Fonseca	37c	236.54$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.43	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50a0…440cbacked Spizzirri	38c	231.57$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.57	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fonseca	60c	217.88$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.73	7,753	47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L	+39.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fonseca	37c	201.16$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	4,474	51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L	+133.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fonseca	56c	200$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Fonseca	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	707	52.8%373 W · 334 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fonseca	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Fonseca	63c	200$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Spizzirri	74c	193.63$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Spizzirri	61c	179.27$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.88	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Spizzirri	41c	170.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.99	1,276	30.4%388 W · 888 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Fonseca	60c	165$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Fonseca	62c	162$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Fonseca	62c	160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-10.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fonseca	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	733	50.9%373 W · 360 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Fonseca	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Fonseca	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Fonseca	65c	154.47$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.52	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Fonseca	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	351	57%200 W · 151 L	-13.4wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fonseca	59c	151.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.12	2,339	46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L	+55.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Fonseca	61c	150.16$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.6	329	37.4%123 W · 206 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Fonseca	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-80%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3c…243bbacked Fonseca	64c	148.44$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Spizzirri	69c	141.3$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.78	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked Fonseca	63c	136$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.68	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spizzirri	37c	136$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.68	313	32.3%101 W · 212 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fc…d2a7backed Fonseca	62c	130.32$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Fonseca	62c	129.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	106	54.7%58 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Spizzirri	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Spizzirri	42c	119$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.02	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Spizzirri	41c	118$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.62	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirrithis page
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Match O/U 36.5Under won
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Match O/U 38.5Under won
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs SpizzirriSpizzirri won
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Spizzirri (+1.5)Spizzirri won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirri

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event