TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35b4…0f65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
1
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3625%9 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampere: Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Yi Zhoubacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.63
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.82
Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.14
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Vicenza: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$420
Bordeaux: Pierre Delage vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Pierre Delage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.49
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.17
Dubrovnik: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Murcia: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Miami Open: McCartney Kessler vs Magdalena Frechbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+370.6%+$630
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+133%+$456.64
Phoenix: James Duckworth vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.05
BNP Paribas Open: Peyton Stearns vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$486
BNP Paribas Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$269.66
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$289.93
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.