Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Tom Gentzsch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83b49d28a68f025d165517d541fb81e6797cb5d345c735c4fb050e4c1c2cf003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Tom Gentzsch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tom Gentzsch | 32c | 3,376$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 2,410$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.89 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Tom Gentzsch | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 1,294$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.15 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 79c | 1,196$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tom Gentzsch | 44c | 1,140$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tom Gentzsch | 29c | 1,019$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Jan Choinski | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tom Gentzsch | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jan Choinski | 57c | 842$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jan Choinski | 58c | 794.83$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jan Choinski | 61c | 727.81$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Tom Gentzsch | 13c | 676.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 664.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tom Gentzsch | 22c | 640.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 638.42$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 624.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Tom Gentzsch | 2c | 563.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jan Choinski | 57c | 517.24$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Tom Gentzsch | 44c | 508.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tom Gentzsch | 28c | 347.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Tom Gentzsch | 23c | 333.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Jan Choinski | 79c | 316.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 311.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tom Gentzsch | 22c | 245.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tom Gentzsch | 43c | 229.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Tom Gentzsch | 42c | 215.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 158.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tom Gentzsch | 9c | 153.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 146.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Tom Gentzsch | 46c | 115.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tom Gentzsch | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 107.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 97.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 89.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Tom Gentzsch | 44c | 86.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Tom Gentzsch | 25c | 79.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Tom Gentzsch | 46c | 77.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 66.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jan Choinski | 57c | 65.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Jan Choinski | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tom Gentzsch | 47c | 59.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Jan Choinski | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tom Gentzsch | 46c | 55.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tom Gentzsch | 19c | 54.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jan Choinski | 54c | 50.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tom Gentzsch | 46c | 50.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tom Gentzsch | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jan Choinski | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tom Gentzsch | 44c | 41.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Jan Choinski | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tom Gentzsch | 45c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Jan Choinski | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jan Choinski | 52c | 30.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jan Choinski | 53c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Tom Gentzsch | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Tom Gentzschthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Choinski vs GentzschChoinski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.