Tennis · resolved market
Tampere: Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95dc3e409d4ef7cf1c05208cf174f170f4556964b170a5b01cb92c3eaffb736a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hynek Bartonof Hynek Barton, Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Hynek Barton | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.29 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 595.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 566.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 511.83$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 34c | 437.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Hynek Barton | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 18c | 286.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 6c | 229.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 36c | 195.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Hynek Barton | 65c | 164.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Hynek Barton | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 8c | 154.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 22c | 143$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Hynek Barton | 78c | 127.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hynek Barton | 63c | 124.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 101.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Hynek Barton | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed Hynek Barton | 64c | 65.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 38c | 64.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 36c | 49.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Hynek Barton | 65c | 46.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 36c | 45.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hynek Barton | 59c | 30.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Hynek Barton | 65c | 29.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hynek Barton | 60c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…bdf1backed Hynek Barton | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Hynek Barton | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hynek Barton | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.