Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db7070534715a009c207f4b0127b840f489e27ef907674cea68957b6ca963a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Stan Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Sebastian Baez | 50c | 97,566$49,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,532.96 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stan Wawrinka | 38c | 51,759$19,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,766.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked Stan Wawrinka | 0c | 28,202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stan Wawrinka | 35c | 19,156$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,655.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Stan Wawrinka | 45c | 18,067$8,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,167.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stan Wawrinka | 43c | 9,392$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 6,828$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 70c | 6,475$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.23 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sebastian Baez | 77c | 5,561$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.7 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Stan Wawrinka | 37c | 4,403$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.08 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Stan Wawrinka | 26c | 4,399$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.42 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Stan Wawrinka | 50c | 3,887$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.45 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Sebastian Baez | 74c | 3,548$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.35 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 2,970$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.7 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 2,226$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.12 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…8e4ebacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 2,140$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Sebastian Baez | 69c | 2,135$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.35 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 2,063$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.4 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 2,029$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Stan Wawrinka | 49c | 1,975$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.46 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 1,891$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 1,840$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.65 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez | 74c | 1,694$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 1,694$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Stan Wawrinka | 1c | 1,687$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 1,486$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 1,468$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…ba46backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 1,382$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 1,357$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 1,149$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 1,106$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.69 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Stan Wawrinka | 10c | 1,065$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Stan Wawrinka | 28c | 1,039$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.41 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Stan Wawrinka | 14c | 1,029$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Stan Wawrinka | 9c | 1,010$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Stan Wawrinka | 18c | 953.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…e0e9backed Stan Wawrinka | 7c | 950.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 949.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.49 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebastian Baez | 76c | 925.16$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Baez | 80c | 885.7$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 847.23$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 826.82$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…81c4backed Sebastian Baez | 52c | 806.28$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 749.84$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Stan Wawrinka | 21c | 714.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Stan Wawrinka | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Stan Wawrinka | 53c | 638.39$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Stan Wawrinka | 3c | 615.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Sebastian Baez | 62c | 606.17$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 597.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 593.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 32c | 587$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Stan Wawrinka | 34c | 571.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 546.31$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 520.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Stan Wawrinka | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Stan Wawrinka | 34c | 491.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 489.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sebastian Baez | 62c | 489.08$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Stan Wawrinka | 49c | 481.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 481.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…2736backed Stan Wawrinka | 6c | 479.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 457.87$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 454.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Stan Wawrinka | 11c | 441.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 438.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Stan Wawrinka | 55c | 435.19$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 403.93$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 396.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Stan Wawrinka | 26c | 393.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…ce52backed Stan Wawrinka | 34c | 380.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stan Wawrinka | 35c | 378.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…d4d5backed Stan Wawrinka | 40c | 372.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 348.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Stan Wawrinka | 28c | 343.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Stan Wawrinka | 3c | 341.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Stan Wawrinka | 22c | 336.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Stan Wawrinka | 24c | 312.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 295.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…61c5backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Stan Wawrinka | 33c | 289.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Sebastian Baez | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Stan Wawrinka | 29c | 286.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 283.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Sebastian Baez | 68c | 278.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Stan Wawrinka | 30c | 275.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Stan Wawrinka | 35c | 274.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 274.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 267.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Stan Wawrinka | 31c | 264.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Sebastian Baez | 66c | 258.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Sebastian Baez | 66c | 256.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinkathis page
- Baez vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Baez vs. Wawrinka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Sebastian Baez vs. Stan Wawrinka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs WawrinkaBaez won
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Baez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.