TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mackenzie McDonaldof Mackenzie McDonald, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Mackenzie McDonald50c16,510$8,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,278.219355.9%52 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer31c11,753$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.596,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Mackenzie McDonald72c8,615$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.0148855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Mackenzie McDonald74c5,768$4,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.023351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer28c3,853$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.34,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer29c2,977$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.248,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Mackenzie McDonald66c2,953$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.720146.8%94 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c2,376$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.761,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer51c2,299$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.3658745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer54c2,124$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.973,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mackenzie McDonald68c2,056$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,723$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.414250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer27c1,647$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer30c1,492$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,396$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer21c1,345$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mackenzie McDonald70c1,322$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.348,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Mackenzie McDonald66c1,270$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.6319167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer26c1,263$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33048440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mackenzie McDonald66c1,147$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.664,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer34c1,095$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.465,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer63c1,001$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.6315248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf632…40c6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3155…cf15backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11b8…4a42backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c1…125ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer49c937.74$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.493,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c914.13$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.071,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mackenzie McDonald73c902.47$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.123,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c857.18$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3322337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked Mackenzie McDonald74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2084269%29 W · 13 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c643.28$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6758539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Mackenzie McDonald57c642.78$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.43070%21 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer31c607$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.251,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Mackenzie McDonald61c598.75$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1825240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c596.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.862,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Mackenzie McDonald51c593.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0627151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Mackenzie McDonald69c516.56$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.21,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b4…0f65backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603625%9 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer31c496.84$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mackenzie McDonald69c484.22$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.222,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Mackenzie McDonald37c476$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8878840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Mackenzie McDonald37c462$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Mackenzie McDonald45c457.78$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7819343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Mackenzie McDonald51c456.86$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8645256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Mackenzie McDonald69c450.7$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.651,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer51c447.56$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer19c447.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mackenzie McDonald73c433.72$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.128,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Mackenzie McDonald72c416.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.813174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Mackenzie McDonald37c406.92$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer33c398$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.081,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer26c387.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer51c384.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.161,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mackenzie McDonald75c367.73$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.882,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Mackenzie McDonald65c360$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12680153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c356.54$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.461,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Mackenzie McDonald44c339.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1257842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer38c319.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12141955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mackenzie McDonald71c310.44$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.882,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c306$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15345744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mackenzie McDonald57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12970652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15658639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mackenzie McDonald68c297.48$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.24,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer26c287.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7922154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Mackenzie McDonald70c284.26$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2835164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer35c273.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.189638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer50c267.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.421,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Mackenzie McDonald79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1628562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer52c249.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c240$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mackenzie McDonald54c235.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.53,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Mackenzie McDonald48c223.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer45c220.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Mackenzie McDonald46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3958045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mackenzie McDonald75c209$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Mackenzie McDonald41c208.08$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7223247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…b263backed Mackenzie McDonald58c206.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer24c204.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Mackenzie McDonald49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c204$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.561,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mackenzie McDonald75c203.49$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-51.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3972…0a77backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Mackenzie McDonald75c199.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer52c197.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Mackenzie McDonald49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8864350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Mackenzie McDonald67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.140554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c167.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer32c167.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6365952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer39c166.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5416354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Mackenzie McDonald63c156.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3334748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.