TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58c5…17e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT9638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistajabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.53
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.33
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henningbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.47
Libema Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Niels Viskerbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.64
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrutbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.06
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$255.97
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Polingbacked Karl Poling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$87.56
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moellerbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$85.82
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.43
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Mika Stojsavljevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.8%+$198.36
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.61
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatovbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.91
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$113.12
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$159.77
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$97.12
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Polingbacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.92
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistajabacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.27
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertolabacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.83
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.53
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$178.85
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$105.29
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Andre Ilaganbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.01
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.09
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$64.78
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+204%+$145.45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$37.84
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$108.74
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.11
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+478.9%+$250.68
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$108.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.98
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$121.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.75
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.91
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.81
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$63.31
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$41.64
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.83
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$55.72
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$18.18
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.24
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.32
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$103.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.02
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$50.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.