TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karl Polingof Blaise Bicknell, Karl Poling
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Karl Poling48c19,344$9,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,091.224,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3743…12acbacked Blaise Bicknell0c13,303$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blaise Bicknell52c7,864$4,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.118,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karl Poling50c6,558$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.938,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blaise Bicknell54c5,491$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.3411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Karl Poling60c3,315$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.296,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Blaise Bicknell63c3,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.4533342.6%142 W · 191 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Karl Poling31c2,880$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.841,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Blaise Bicknell63c2,536$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.5716552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blaise Bicknell34c2,393$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Blaise Bicknell34c2,393$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7265952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karl Poling34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.993,86234.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L+92.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb450…1c12backed Blaise Bicknell56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Blaise Bicknell64c1,618$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.941,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Blaise Bicknell31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karl Poling64c1,595$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.564,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Karl Poling41c1,248$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.223860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Blaise Bicknell28c1,224$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7513928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Karl Poling70c1,047$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.141,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Blaise Bicknell35c1,003$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karl Poling43c1,000$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.469,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Blaise Bicknell66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Blaise Bicknell63c934.92$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58979855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Blaise Bicknell52c778.96$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.652,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Blaise Bicknell66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked Blaise Bicknell25c755.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2110143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Karl Poling45c728.22$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.952,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Blaise Bicknell58c629.31$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36531337.1%116 W · 197 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Blaise Bicknell31c622.84$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.082729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karl Poling45c599.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.582,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Karl Poling28c518.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.332,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Blaise Bicknell30c516.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blaise Bicknell70c514.09$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.966,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Karl Poling70c505.3$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.594,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Karl Poling68c501.92$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.14,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Karl Poling46c499.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.996036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Blaise Bicknell37c480.63$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.929638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Blaise Bicknell42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blaise Bicknell62c467.17$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.32,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Blaise Bicknell50c456.46$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8691755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Karl Poling33c454.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5439238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Blaise Bicknell22c454.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Karl Poling33c440.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.13,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Blaise Bicknell28c437$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3637421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Karl Poling46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Blaise Bicknell72c433.55$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31026151.7%135 W · 126 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Karl Poling70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Blaise Bicknell70c422.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.781,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…31f7backed Blaise Bicknell72c398.49$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Blaise Bicknell55c369$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3756744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Blaise Bicknell68c354.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Blaise Bicknell58c351.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.241,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Karl Poling40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19521641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edf…c034backed Karl Poling75c317.07$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.272763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Blaise Bicknell63c299.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.991,09052.6%573 W · 517 L-4.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karl Poling54c297.28$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.215,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Blaise Bicknell14c296.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.082,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…1132backed Karl Poling69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Karl Poling35c288.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7111255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Blaise Bicknell8c287.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.135617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Blaise Bicknell69c287$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Blaise Bicknell62c285.76$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf015…3f6bbacked Karl Poling33c272.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+99.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Karl Poling71c267.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Karl Poling36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Blaise Bicknell44c248.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Karl Poling39c229.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling47c224.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.498,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Blaise Bicknell54c219.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Blaise Bicknell64c218.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.81,14147.2%539 W · 602 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked Karl Poling60c217.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Karl Poling38c216.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.446,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Blaise Bicknell54c213.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0146440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Karl Poling37c212.78$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.051,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Blaise Bicknell66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13234154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Blaise Bicknell54c199.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9936361.7%224 W · 139 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Blaise Bicknell53c193$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.251,80640.9%739 W · 1,067 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blaise Bicknell33c190.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.541,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Karl Poling37c186.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4926134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Blaise Bicknell69c184.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.121,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Blaise Bicknell39c177.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9144949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Karl Poling48c171.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.412,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Karl Poling30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Karl Poling76c164.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5230847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Blaise Bicknell61c156.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Blaise Bicknell66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Karl Poling39c139.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.992,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Blaise Bicknell73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Blaise Bicknell64c136.19$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6942747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Blaise Bicknell72c134.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.911,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blaise Bicknell65c132.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.637,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Blaise Bicknell52c130.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.463,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Blaise Bicknell34c130.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91,01141.4%419 W · 592 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Karl Poling37c128.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9645340%181 W · 272 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Karl Poling42c126.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9289435.9%321 W · 573 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Karl Poling41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9533540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Blaise Bicknell58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…6f1dbacked Blaise Bicknell67c119.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…e54abacked Blaise Bicknell59c116.85$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked Karl Poling44c116.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.172420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.