TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yuta Shimizuof Murphy Cassone, Yuta Shimizu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Murphy Cassone69c18,731$12,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,904.124,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yuta Shimizu32c10,663$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.498,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Murphy Cassone61c8,132$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu39c6,558$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,972.186,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Yuta Shimizu45c4,296$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.72,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yuta Shimizu43c3,704$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Murphy Cassone55c3,635$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yuta Shimizu57c3,479$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Yuta Shimizu44c2,066$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.971,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Murphy Cassone61c1,605$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Murphy Cassone49c1,410$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.0195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Murphy Cassone42c1,335$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.984,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murphy Cassone75c1,289$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.847,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yuta Shimizu53c1,101$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8552152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu49c1,000$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.19,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Murphy Cassone40c947.09$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7958048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Murphy Cassone50c938.95$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.484163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Murphy Cassone14c919.64$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7542125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yuta Shimizu62c900.51$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yuta Shimizu43c900$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.252,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yuta Shimizu44c806$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.364,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Murphy Cassone56c767.86$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Yuta Shimizu67c654.78$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.121,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Murphy Cassone73c602.71$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9628048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Yuta Shimizu51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2436657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yuta Shimizu35c551.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yuta Shimizu36c543.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9465952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Murphy Cassone77c541.18$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.312,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Murphy Cassone61c528.63$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7338931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Murphy Cassone57c526.32$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.151,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Murphy Cassone56c508.69$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8757842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Murphy Cassone51c493.89$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.52,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuta Shimizu44c466.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.423,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yuta Shimizu70c442.27$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.045,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Yuta Shimizu35c439.68$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.772,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Murphy Cassone50c421.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21117338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yuta Shimizu75c415$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.419167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Yuta Shimizu51c404.69$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.316552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Yuta Shimizu34c389.09$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0926451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yuta Shimizu38c384$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0811237.5%42 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Yuta Shimizu41c361$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7643347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Yuta Shimizu44c338.64$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6419343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Murphy Cassone80c311.58$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2652557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Murphy Cassone53c301.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Yuta Shimizu45c299.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.941,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Murphy Cassone54c270.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3485449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yuta Shimizu23c262$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Yuta Shimizu25c261.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2313928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Murphy Cassone52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Murphy Cassone4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Murphy Cassone21c240.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuta Shimizu54c227.65$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.268,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Murphy Cassone58c227.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.71,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef9…6e00backed Murphy Cassone58c223.73$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Murphy Cassone26c223.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.636757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yuta Shimizu48c222.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.784,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murphy Cassone64c208$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.091,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Murphy Cassone62c196.52$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7634847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yuta Shimizu52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3178857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Yuta Shimizu21c192$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3815754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Yuta Shimizu20c181.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.451,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Yuta Shimizu44c181.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.812,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Yuta Shimizu40c178.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Murphy Cassone56c176.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9969253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Yuta Shimizu40c176.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.299638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Murphy Cassone74c176.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.223,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eed…cf44backed Murphy Cassone58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Yuta Shimizu30c169.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.465617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Murphy Cassone33c163$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Murphy Cassone41c156.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.336,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Murphy Cassone53c155.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.991,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yuta Shimizu45c151.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.111,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yuta Shimizu19c145$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9938952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Murphy Cassone52c139.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.791,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yuta Shimizu37c137.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.531,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yuta Shimizu40c135.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.083,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Yuta Shimizu38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.587533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yuta Shimizu43c130.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7320259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Murphy Cassone44c129.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0ea…812bbacked Murphy Cassone61c122.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Yuta Shimizu40c121.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.232837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Murphy Cassone50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Murphy Cassone58c118.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.918460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Murphy Cassone34c118$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0544949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yuta Shimizu43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Murphy Cassone12c115$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.493208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Murphy Cassone27c112.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Murphy Cassone59c108.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.622,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yuta Shimizu51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yuta Shimizu44c106.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Murphy Cassone65c103.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0291051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yuta Shimizu26c102$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Murphy Cassone63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Yuta Shimizu73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2739941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Murphy Cassone17c99.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.181219.1%11 W · 110 L-37.3wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-81.7%equal weight22-0.26 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yuta Shimizu26c92.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Murphy Cassone55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Murphy Cassone25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.634,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Murphy Cassone35c83.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3289663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Yuta Shimizu76c82.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.