TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres38c72,669$27,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,930.3910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets46c58,929$26,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,069.781,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked New York Mets79c25,352$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,351.63145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed San Diego Padres23c19,049$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.4131958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres35c17,123$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,070.7795045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres54c15,486$8,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,362.6460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres55c13,301$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.51,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets60c11,168$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.442,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.561,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres10c7,100$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.1552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres32c6,369$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.375330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb334…1ae1backed San Diego Padres8c4,891$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets46c4,680$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.241,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked San Diego Padres2c4,651$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets45c4,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres31c4,199$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.464,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9660350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets80c3,744$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres53c3,700$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.9927552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked San Diego Padres28c2,832$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.9872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres54c2,771$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.3413561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed New York Mets43c2,554$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.5139056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres5c2,348$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.52,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed San Diego Padres55c2,258$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets45c2,215$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.353,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets45c2,185$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2021,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres58c1,968$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.156,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked San Diego Padres55c1,819$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4519950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres26c1,706$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.198,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets46c1,700$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9181,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.9744451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed New York Mets45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres7c1,480$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.254,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Mets49c1,426$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9417460.9%106 W · 68 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed San Diego Padres40c1,354$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.2615942.8%68 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed San Diego Padres31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed San Diego Padres10c1,250$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12130928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed San Diego Padres41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres4c1,201$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9861947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets75c1,021$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.841,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres2c992.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres55c964.35$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3957548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets45c800.71$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.411642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres29c799.95$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9936729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets58c751.24$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.251,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets46c741$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.62,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets67c720$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.474,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed San Diego Padres18c719.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0269447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets77c706.78$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets46c661.34$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.684,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed San Diego Padres2c660.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6515.9%3 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed San Diego Padres2c633.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed New York Mets58c621$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4723036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed San Diego Padres3c522.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets45c519.95$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9770744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked San Diego Padres55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres28c458.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.843,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New York Mets50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22057046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres18c420.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets62c403.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets44c365.12$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked San Diego Padres55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed San Diego Padres51c332.66$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.32944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets72c331$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres54c319.38$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4743253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets74c319.11$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.198,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8427231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e8…69e7backed San Diego Padres43c262.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed New York Mets46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked New York Mets46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13551449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed San Diego Padres29c244.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125255.2%139 W · 113 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4881257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12189053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets76c220$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4540043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed New York Mets45c219.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9963644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed San Diego Padres49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Mets46c204$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.162,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89f…2b56backed San Diego Padres13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.152128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed San Diego Padres15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets45c199.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9669351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed New York Mets46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6594549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed San Diego Padres55c192.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7710650%53 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres55c190.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed San Diego Padres28c189.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.121225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed San Diego Padres55c187.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.178353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets69c187.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.837451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked San Diego Padres55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked San Diego Padres55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres67c173$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.911,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.