MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce41bcc13b8bc1bca25c85239e3b78c6c0fa16b8a29ac3e0bc5b7d75247a14f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 72,669$27,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,930.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 46c | 58,929$26,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,069.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked New York Mets | 79c | 25,352$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 19,049$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.41 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 17,123$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 15,486$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,362.64 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 13,301$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 11,168$6,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 7,100$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 6,369$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.37 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 4,891$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,680$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 4,651$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 4,199$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.96 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 80c | 3,744$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,700$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.99 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 2,832$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.98 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,771$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.34 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed New York Mets | 43c | 2,554$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.51 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 2,348$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,258$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,215$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,185$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,968$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.45 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 1,706$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.97 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.96 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 1,480$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,426$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.94 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,354$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.26 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 1,201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 75c | 1,021$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 992.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 964.35$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 45c | 800.71$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 799.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 58c | 751.24$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 46c | 741$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 67c | 720$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 719.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 77c | 706.78$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 46c | 661.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 660.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 633.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New York Mets | 58c | 621$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.47 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 522.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 45c | 519.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.97 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 458.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed New York Mets | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 420.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 62c | 403.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 44c | 365.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…17e8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 332.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 72c | 331$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 319.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 74c | 319.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…69e7backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 262.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed New York Mets | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked New York Mets | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 244.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed New York Mets | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 76c | 220$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed New York Mets | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Mets | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…2b56backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 45c | 199.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Mets | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 192.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 189.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 187.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Mets | 69c | 187.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 173$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.