TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luka Mikrutof Luka Mikrut, Marvin Moeller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Mikrut75c35,401$26,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,913.361,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Marvin Moeller38c12,525$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,789.444,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marvin Moeller29c10,580$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.049,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Luka Mikrut31c9,595$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,595.465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Marvin Moeller64c7,500$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.8139443.1%170 W · 224 L+20.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Marvin Moeller29c6,363$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.1734047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Marvin Moeller42c6,208$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.13,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Marvin Moeller21c3,535$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.2671725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Marvin Moeller34c3,512$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.071,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Luka Mikrut69c3,500$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.1365959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Mikrut64c3,214$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.564,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Marvin Moeller52c3,029$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.822,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Luka Mikrut68c2,940$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.831,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marvin Moeller36c2,883$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.938,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Luka Mikrut45c2,633$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.0631234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Mikrut57c2,608$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.576,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Marvin Moeller31c2,574$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9831540.6%128 W · 187 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Luka Mikrut39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Marvin Moeller44c2,394$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.672,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Marvin Moeller9c2,261$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Luka Mikrut71c1,892$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Luka Mikrut55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1810345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Luka Mikrut35c1,714$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.2972040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Marvin Moeller32c1,511$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.463,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Marvin Moeller68c1,449$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.661,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Marvin Moeller32c1,186$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.666,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Marvin Moeller14c1,170$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Marvin Moeller35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Marvin Moeller62c943.23$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.627446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Marvin Moeller47c936.27$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Luka Mikrut67c877.59$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3753843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Marvin Moeller19c866.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3770829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Luka Mikrut65c789.53$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3429952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Marvin Moeller52c783.82$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.131,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Marvin Moeller35c741.82$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.413321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Luka Mikrut77c741.18$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.021,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Luka Mikrut71c699.28$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2415261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Marvin Moeller35c678.06$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Luka Mikrut79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9133540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Marvin Moeller41c612.85$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0634052.1%177 W · 163 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Luka Mikrut66c562.9$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.925556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Luka Mikrut54c555.6$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.741,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Luka Mikrut66c551.58$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5747854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Marvin Moeller36c550.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Marvin Moeller33c538.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marvin Moeller66c496.55$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.727,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Mikrut59c494.93$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Luka Mikrut62c471.92$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4530436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Marvin Moeller32c456.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.612,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Luka Mikrut36c447.82$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.141,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Luka Mikrut67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.763060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Marvin Moeller42c441.57$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.042,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Luka Mikrut67c441.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.591,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Luka Mikrut69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Marvin Moeller37c429$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.484447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Marvin Moeller30c412.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Marvin Moeller19c403.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7820938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Marvin Moeller33c402.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.841,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Marvin Moeller39c400.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.342,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marvin Moeller32c332.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.271,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Luka Mikrut42c330.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.958543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Marvin Moeller29c329.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.421,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Luka Mikrut66c328.43$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4311249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Luka Mikrut67c313.39$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.811,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f24…e803backed Luka Mikrut35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19511255.4%62 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Marvin Moeller66c299.62$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8310146.5%47 W · 54 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Luka Mikrut34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1248637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Luka Mikrut69c285.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4621257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marvin Moeller63c250.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.873,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Luka Mikrut41c240.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.675267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Luka Mikrut56c238.89$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.262,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9843…266fbacked Luka Mikrut66c235.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.822665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Luka Mikrut68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.296453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Marvin Moeller38c233$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5955941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Luka Mikrut32c233$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0121641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Marvin Moeller33c218.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Luka Mikrut68c215.3$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6157953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Luka Mikrut37c214.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.911,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Marvin Moeller47c213.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.661,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Marvin Moeller29c203$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.877934.2%27 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Marvin Moeller67c201.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marvin Moeller49c201.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.141,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Marvin Moeller34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Luka Mikrut66c192.89$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.932,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marvin Moeller57c186.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.442,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Marvin Moeller66c185$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.691,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eac…9b93backed Marvin Moeller25c183.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.988331.3%26 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Luka Mikrut68c178.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.232,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Marvin Moeller56c176.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Luka Mikrut66c171.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2516552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Marvin Moeller34c170.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.065242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Luka Mikrut62c170.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.581,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Luka Mikrut48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4544949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86ff…1d98backed Marvin Moeller45c164$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.565135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Luka Mikrut74c161.12$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1218258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Luka Mikrut69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.421,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Luka Mikrut65c158.73$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7713151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Luka Mikrut56c157.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Marvin Moeller65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Marvin Moeller38c151.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7211361.1%69 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.