TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Braden Shickof Braden Shick, Masamichi Imamura
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Masamichi Imamura36c17,035$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.534,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Braden Shick61c4,050$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Braden Shick55c3,585$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.7425453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Braden Shick58c3,350$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.496,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Masamichi Imamura41c3,186$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.3228048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Braden Shick73c2,685$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.782,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Braden Shick79c2,514$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.125265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Braden Shick66c2,062$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.028,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Masamichi Imamura46c1,948$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.861,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Masamichi Imamura13c1,537$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8111237.5%42 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Braden Shick58c1,470$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.3252152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Braden Shick57c1,385$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.644,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…22c8backed Braden Shick45c1,278$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.014854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Braden Shick55c1,012$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.721,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Braden Shick56c1,010$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.42,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Braden Shick45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55031436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Masamichi Imamura59c1,000$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.629,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Masamichi Imamura44c843.31$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.987,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Masamichi Imamura18c833.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Masamichi Imamura45c797.61$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.923,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Masamichi Imamura47c778.82$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.011,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Braden Shick68c756.1$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.124,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Masamichi Imamura26c752.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Braden Shick57c741.74$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.951,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Masamichi Imamura45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Masamichi Imamura31c643.96$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Masamichi Imamura45c575.29$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.63,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Masamichi Imamura23c569.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.371,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Masamichi Imamura51c563$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9414225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Masamichi Imamura45c559.35$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Masamichi Imamura35c546.56$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.678,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Braden Shick55c535.71$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.071,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Braden Shick48c522.25$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.892,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Masamichi Imamura59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Masamichi Imamura35c437.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.242,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Braden Shick57c416$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3645744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Masamichi Imamura25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Masamichi Imamura45c385.65$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.283,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Masamichi Imamura26c383.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9858931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Braden Shick59c375.35$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.159448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Braden Shick63c370$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Masamichi Imamura44c364.89$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…8fd9backed Braden Shick56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.145145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65eb…2c83backed Braden Shick63c344.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.534252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Braden Shick77c301.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Braden Shick61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.921641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Braden Shick80c233$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.011,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Masamichi Imamura45c222.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef9…6e00backed Masamichi Imamura60c216.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Masamichi Imamura47c211.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Masamichi Imamura34c208.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.952832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Braden Shick54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Masamichi Imamura45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Masamichi Imamura12c194.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9365346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Braden Shick52c193.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.746,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Braden Shick77c182$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8638952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Braden Shick57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Braden Shick54c174.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0716746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Braden Shick59c170.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.341,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Braden Shick57c168.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.539638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Masamichi Imamura45c153.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Braden Shick77c152.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.742,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Masamichi Imamura27c149.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.924,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Masamichi Imamura28c132.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.073,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Masamichi Imamura38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.445850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Braden Shick80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Braden Shick77c121$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.838749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Masamichi Imamura44c120.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Braden Shick46c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.944949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Masamichi Imamura45c106.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Masamichi Imamura27c100.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.232,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Masamichi Imamura50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Masamichi Imamura27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2747857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Masamichi Imamura50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Braden Shick65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Masamichi Imamura45c90.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7247854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc82…a7c8backed Braden Shick77c90.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Braden Shick70c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.418850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Braden Shick52c85.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.087,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Braden Shick60c74.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.932,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c18…f1b9backed Masamichi Imamura17c70.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Braden Shick55c70.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.662,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Masamichi Imamura46c70.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.213,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Masamichi Imamura44c69.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3832837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Braden Shick77c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4958453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Braden Shick62c65.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8420259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Braden Shick54c63.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Masamichi Imamura23c62.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…5d32backed Braden Shick77c61.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.934864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Braden Shick77c60.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0326457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Braden Shick52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2924357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Braden Shick67c59.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7376853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Braden Shick59c56.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1578350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5483…ab04backed Braden Shick80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.05366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Braden Shick71c54.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Masamichi Imamura46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97455.4%41 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Braden Shick77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9516833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Masamichi Imamura21c51.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8340527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Masamichi Imamura50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Masamichi Imamura20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.