MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6864617fe1d1b2925bbfcadd8e8883c6b51190941fcaf4a9804a3b3e898b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Cleveland Guardians, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 350,868$161,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,468.88 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 217,388$117,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,389.52 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 111,111$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.94 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 28,320$11,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,302.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 24,176$11,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,947.92 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 18,135$8,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.53 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 15,907$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.73 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 13,478$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,278.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.98 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 7,190$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.4 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 6,930$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,662$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.79 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,603$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.6 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 3,257$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.76 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,962$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.56 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 2,882$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,703$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,582$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.66 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 2,351$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,173$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.42 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 2,145$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.43 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.96 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,873$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.38 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,815$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 1,637$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.36 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,626$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 1,566$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 1,470$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.94 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 1,374$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.88 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 1,294$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.46 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 1,287$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.78 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,278$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,241$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.87 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.46 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 919.95$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.27 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 892.04$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.62 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 891.37$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 885$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.9 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 809$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 791.11$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 765.63$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 757.96$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.65 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 736$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 720$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 715.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 696.67$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.08 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 649.83$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.91 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 634.75$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 599.89$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 580$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 557.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 539.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 539.91$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.17 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 461.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 460$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 457.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 452.26$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 450$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 445.36$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 409.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 394.66$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 374$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 370.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…f20ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 360.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 345.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.