MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec6251071ec20b94cccfea4c37e664fa6e0165f478602d5735cac7f77c37e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 36,000$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,479.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 17,022$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 13,202$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.86 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 13,054$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 11,860$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 9,814$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 9,485$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 4,552$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 4,437$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.42 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 4,324$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.86 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,173$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 3,627$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 3,095$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.9 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 3,012$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 2,290$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.51 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,156$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 2,002$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,759$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.89 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.65 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,688$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,546$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,537$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,536$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,496$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 1,476$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,473$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.56 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…4959backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,434$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,205$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,165$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,084$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.86 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.49 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 991.54$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.37 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 977$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 964.59$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 960.5$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 899.62$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 879.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 816.11$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 708.02$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 663.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 642.31$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 638.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 593.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 571.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 568.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 557.79$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 536$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 528.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 511.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 499.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 497.46$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 477.47$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 467$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 454.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 449.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 441.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 422.91$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 407.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 399.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 360.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 360$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 338.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 330.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 328.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 314.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 310.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 309.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 295.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 269.95$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 260.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 251.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 242.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 242.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 236.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 236.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…e5ddbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 225.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 224.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 222.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 220.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 14.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.