MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a6bd71bcc1f8cbd5c207ac58a0d4ee2789a0f4e4fb31ae7812d903ef271e8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,126,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,401,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,126,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 425,000$199,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,749.92 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 260,569$138,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,467.26 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 236,893$124,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,842.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 233,882$122,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,577.09 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 175,671$43,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,774.01 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 150,000$71,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,499.96 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 96,964$71,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,030.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 61,164$24,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,556.4 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 38,543$20,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,115.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 19,784$9,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,496.54 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 19,721$12,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 19,673$12,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.91 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 18,657$14,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 18,128$9,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 17,602$8,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,283.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 17,356$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.14 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 16,532$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 15,625$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 14,600$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 14,509$7,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 11,949$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 11,420$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.4 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 11,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 10,796$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 10,723$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 10,699$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.57 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 10,544$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 8,537$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.39 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 8,509$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.71 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 8,505$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 8,176$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 8,102$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 7,979$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.07 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…1ab0backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 7,440$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,215$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.26 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 6,857$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.58 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 6,674$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 6,331$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 6,262$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 6,001$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.53 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…a420backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,621$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 5,139$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.43 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 5,071$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.03 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 3,903$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.37 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,282$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.06 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,167$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 2,628$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,620$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.94 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,605$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 2,579$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,547$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 2,274$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,218$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,161$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.59 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,151$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.48 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,039$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.31 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 2,037$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.18 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 2,007$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…9e93backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,937$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.74 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,904$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.9 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,770$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.03 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,725$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.85 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 1,534$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,508$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…4729backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,503$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,399$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,367$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.62 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,356$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.88 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,336$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,312$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,299$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.76 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,297$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.59 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 1,268$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.36 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 1,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Chicago Cubs | 6c | 1,067$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.