MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb51db59087f260f88a4c979537cc646426e7d47f80d1648ef75ed13c07aaa1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 59c | 25,216$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,789.54 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 9,272$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.32 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 41c | 7,777$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.43 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 3,850$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.81 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 3,054$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 3,024$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,604$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 43c | 2,430$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,259$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 2,011$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 41c | 1,540$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…370dbacked Over | 68c | 1,466$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 1,374$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 41c | 1,317$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.15 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 1,141$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 1,100$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 44c | 1,095$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Over | 55c | 890.91$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 877.46$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 41c | 853.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.67 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 792.7$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 705.67$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 648.66$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 38c | 588.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 41c | 553.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 483.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 341.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 61c | 319.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 48c | 304$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 59c | 284$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 41c | 270$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under | 43c | 228.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 45c | 226.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 207.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 61c | 198.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 197.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed Under | 60c | 170.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…567dbacked Under | 51c | 168.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Over | 55c | 149.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 49c | 129.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 71c | 128$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…78cfbacked Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 104.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 51c | 97.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 94.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 65c | 85.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 84.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 42c | 80.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 78c | 75.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 58c | 72.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 79c | 48.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 65c | 47.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 64c | 43.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Over | 61c | 43.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Over | 56c | 43.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 42c | 43.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 36c | 41.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Over | 49c | 35.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 42c | 34.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 34.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 55c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 30.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 59c | 29.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 27.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 41c | 27.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…d35abacked Over | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 46c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 45c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.