TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over59c25,216$14,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,789.5443554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under51c9,272$4,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.329766%64 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under41c7,777$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.4347953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c3,850$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.8110545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under41c3,054$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.1411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c3,024$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.528,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,604$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.145,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under43c2,430$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.14,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c2,259$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.788,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c2,011$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.634,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under41c1,540$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.343,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d51…370dbacked Over68c1,466$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over60c1,374$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.844,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under41c1,317$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.151,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c1,141$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.939,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c1,100$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6426,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under44c1,095$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.21,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Over55c890.91$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c877.46$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under41c853.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6756851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c792.7$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.618,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under40c705.67$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Over60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.172,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c648.66$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.832,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over38c588.45$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2577353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under41c553.33$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c483.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.352,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c341.8$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over61c319.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19516456.7%93 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over48c304$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.491,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4821149.3%104 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c284$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.562,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under41c270$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.491,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under43c228.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.233557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over45c226.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0544745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over53c207.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.346557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under61c198.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.471,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c197.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.766,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba6f…1bc0backed Under60c170.64$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.656149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f4…567dbacked Under51c168.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.125457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Over55c149.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827846.2%36 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over49c129.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.583,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over71c128$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.474052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over38c123$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7430647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f0…78cfbacked Over57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under45c104.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.581,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Over51c97.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6814544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over54c94.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.815,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.25,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over65c85.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c84.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under42c80.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over78c75.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6110864.8%70 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over58c72.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.258652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under79c48.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.289851%50 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over65c47.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8732450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.551,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over64c43.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.062,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…37b0backed Over61c43.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7340%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Over56c43.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.214247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under42c43.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1778155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under36c41.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6824742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e80…416dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Over60c36.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912858.6%75 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Over49c35.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under42c34.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.976746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c34.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208457.1%48 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Under55c32.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6237551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over43c30.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over59c29.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under48c27.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under41c27.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2182741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…d35abacked Over79c25.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Under46c24.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2734754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c23.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under45c22.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.