TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3cc5…d49f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.12
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$122.03
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$106.86
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.44
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.92
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.64
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$126.85
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.77
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.15
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.05
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.09
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$130.23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$62.16
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$59.99
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$64.4
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bearsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$78.16
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.35
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.88
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$47.5
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.05
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$82.77
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.41
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$234.8
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$160.07
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.97
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
Centurion: Arda Azkara vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Arda Azkara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+133%+$130.36
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.34
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.03
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.46
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$114.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$141.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.51
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$56.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$95.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.