Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa065e70f62ab5a8e2ef63c8d0c4b0665bc6182ef3d2e8284be34f609a8ebbedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 40c | 3,283$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.43 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,454$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 42c | 1,418$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.86 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 1,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 57c | 857.62$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.78 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 70c | 717.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 684.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.87 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 27c | 645.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 489.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 487.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 29c | 480$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 59c | 393.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 52c | 393.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.11 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 341.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 68c | 323.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 310.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 71c | 300.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 300.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 291.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…ededbacked Under | 57c | 255.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 66c | 220.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Under | 47c | 208.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 29c | 205.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 59c | 189.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 174.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 71c | 153.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 146.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 112.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…f9a5backed Under | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 71c | 96.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 44c | 88.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c1…13cabacked Over | 59c | 84.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 65cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 31c | 82.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 69c | 79.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 47c | 79.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 57c | 70.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 64c | 70.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 45c | 66.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 29c | 51.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 51.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 37c | 50.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 50.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…3d69backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 49.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 44.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 43.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…cdf9backed Over | 60c | 43.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 70c | 36.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 43c | 24.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 60c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5this page
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-1.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5)Armenia won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-2.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.