TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c3,567$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c2,771$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over29c1,342$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9520560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfad3…f2a5backed Over45c1,030$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef8…a4edbacked Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c905.22$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.551,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over38c874.76$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under59c866.74$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.583759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over44c802.92$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.781,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over61c770.9$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.255062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c703.83$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over17c564.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.916139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c557.49$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over69c485.51$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.42,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.42,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over14c474.07$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.972,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over44c458.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c455.34$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9410330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over17c451.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under59c397.73$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under56c387.57$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5313351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over42c356.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0621630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c325.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1577…a02abacked Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.145232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over46c277.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.524949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over18c274.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.673823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over17c260$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over17c230.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.261631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c223.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.651,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over45c221.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over36c213.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9813253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c205.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d6…5e6dbacked Over71c193.73$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over68c178.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c160.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over62c156.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.197953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under57c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…95f5backed Over12c149$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under72c142$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.144153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Over21c138.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.732536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over67c132.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under38c131.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Over30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over50c121.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6115543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over55c112.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under31c104$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6811238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under60c99.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over51c98.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c89.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4311331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c85.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over44c84.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2814433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under57c84.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4918435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under53c71.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over71c69.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under63c69.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under63c69.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under29c68.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9622951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over40c67.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under58c67.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2820330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c56.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under55c56.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5819038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under66c56.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under43c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.054856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over30c49.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.093151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over69c47.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.687545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1a…312fbacked Under79c43.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.163956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over48c41.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under42c39.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.699456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c39.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c38.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c36.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7120047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0593542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbb…0197backed Under70c34.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Under69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7822752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c33.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9387651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under52c32.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under59c31.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.857055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.224257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.