Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf18cd07954001054a07667d841c95864004dfe9c9515794c017a475c3e00a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 3,567$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 2,771$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.81 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 29c | 1,342$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…f2a5backed Over | 45c | 1,030$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 905.22$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.55 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 874.76$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 59c | 866.74$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 802.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.78 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 61c | 770.9$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 703.83$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 17c | 564.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 557.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 69c | 485.51$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 474.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 44c | 458.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 455.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 17c | 451.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 59c | 397.73$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.07 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 56c | 387.57$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 356.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 68c | 325.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 46c | 277.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 18c | 274.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 17c | 230.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 223.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 45c | 221.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 36c | 213.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 205.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…5e6dbacked Over | 71c | 193.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 68c | 178.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 160.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 62c | 156.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…95f5backed Over | 12c | 149$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 21c | 138.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 67c | 132.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 38c | 131.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 121.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 31c | 104$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 99.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 89.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 85.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 44c | 84.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 57c | 84.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 71.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 69.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 69.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 63c | 69.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 40c | 67.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 58c | 67.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 56.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 55c | 56.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 66c | 56.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 30c | 49.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 69c | 47.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…312fbacked Under | 79c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 42c | 39.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 38.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 36.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…0197backed Under | 70c | 34.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Under | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 33.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 52c | 32.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 59c | 31.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5this page
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-1.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Kazakhstan won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-1.5)Armenia won
- Spread: Kazakhstan (-2.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.