TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb374…cdf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT5364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.71
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.89
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3164.5%20 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.51
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.08
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.05
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.62
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.67
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.92
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.06
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.29
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.84
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.84
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.33
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.17
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.41
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.