TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c9,161$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.0864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c6,132$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c5,059$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.0612146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c3,891$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2813544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c3,354$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.492,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c3,327$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.4959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over57c3,165$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.034233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c2,860$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.2638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c2,804$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.182,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9929232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under51c1,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under48c1,910$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c1,596$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.571,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4611820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed Under57c1,487$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Over54c1,450$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6677851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c1,343$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.111,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over48c1,252$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.792958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,207$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c1,020$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c969.41$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under52c968.69$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under43c888.91$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.234327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.073873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c804.57$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34410331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over60c751.47$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.135529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under40c688.33$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c647.4$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under48c628.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.913650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34237451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over53c566.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.068243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over51c566.03$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.19740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under44c565.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under44c562.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c528.56$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under44c528.56$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under4c525$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over61c488.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.954852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c454.76$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c453.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1577…a02abacked Under48c419.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over72c408.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.345062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2312250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17213850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under46c396.67$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4735150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…74a9backed Over78c386.89$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.66450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over54c380.89$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.814146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under43c321.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.111,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over53c319.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3516152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over64c312.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5328258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c308$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.423,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under44c300.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12322846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c291.26$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.248955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over67c287.78$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.646258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over74c265.57$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0563745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over57c257.14$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0731554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over76c250.21$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0543246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c231.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.371,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over74c228.05$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2919047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2755153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8631553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under37c195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1544435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c194.11$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.371,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under23c179.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7434122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over58c176.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1438439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under48c162.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over62c162.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.15444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c155.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over56c153.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.371,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under42c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under42c149$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5813643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over53c146.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.747953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under22c143.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.613435.3%12 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over58c134.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4847935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c133.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3311563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over62c128.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.986844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Over56c125.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.782536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c124.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…4e07backed Under59c118.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.062050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Under44c115.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c103.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0222153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.457647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.