Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe14b85537b3a801f10858db53812543cae1ff4a67d1bc469e28dcdb55056e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 7,357$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.47 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 6,695$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 6c | 5,432$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 2c | 3,244$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 5c | 2,700$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 2,103$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 22c | 1,645$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.43 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 69c | 1,522$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 1,427$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 17c | 1,288$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.54 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 42c | 1,188$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.49 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 17c | 999.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.95 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 71c | 875.39$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.53 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 79c | 633.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 19c | 566.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.58 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Under | 80c | 468.04$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 25c | 400.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 370.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Under | 79c | 360.78$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.86 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 78c | 300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 19c | 299.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 15c | 268.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 19c | 210.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Over | 32c | 151.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 150.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 12c | 140.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 25c | 134$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed Under | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 123.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 14c | 112.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over | 21c | 106.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 17c | 102$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…a5adbacked Under | 75c | 101.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 89.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 19c | 72.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b285backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…cc49backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 24.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…d6d5backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 67c | 19.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.