Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a319838c5905d6bbfe481ef0fc0ae7ee57dcea4e76643eb395eb5d8799928f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 3,139$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 2,443$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 2,074$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 10c | 1,965$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 4c | 1,665$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 15c | 1,635$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 7c | 1,276$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 757.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Over | 9c | 641.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 6c | 550.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 3c | 343.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 4c | 321.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 19c | 264.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…23d5backed Under | 80c | 237.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…19f7backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 7c | 144.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.