Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9ef866479a88ad99aae991fb2229e9c5dbcfa15474cd23b100893d0a936e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 12,753$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 5,690$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 3,588$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.64 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 2,903$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 15c | 1,996$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 27c | 1,589$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.13 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 1,552$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,160$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 1,146$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 19c | 1,023$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 851.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 789.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 75c | 599$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 13c | 485$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 21c | 469.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Over | 80c | 403.58$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 21c | 358.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Under | 17c | 338.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 274.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 247.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 238$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 21c | 236.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…7582backed Over | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…e9cfbacked Over | 79c | 123.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b4…2994backed Under | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Over | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 24c | 67.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…2c1dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 79c | 59.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under | 19c | 58.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 20c | 55.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 49.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 78c | 34.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 80c | 32.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Over | 78c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 78c | 26.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…1617backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 14.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 78c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.