TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over70c11,525$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.2164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under35c11,204$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.4212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over63c9,614$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.3945428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c9,241$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c7,778$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under30c5,567$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.2544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over20c4,891$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.8822813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over37c4,064$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.5213544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under19c3,623$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c3,136$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.368321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c3,113$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c2,653$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.722,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under67c2,522$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.8411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over48c2,072$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.831644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under29c1,586$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.4189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under31c1,296$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.724967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under44c1,079$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…c026backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c993.47$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed Under72c900$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over39c879.22$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.289740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over35c869.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4315141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c842.34$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.921,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over28c765.78$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.3620560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c734.33$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under66c699.99$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.189454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under31c616.34$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over33c606.02$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.542,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under66c599.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under37c528.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.417640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under66c524.22$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0418435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under40c514.15$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under49c511.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over75c494.92$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.945062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over71c444.14$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.878158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under34c441.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5639933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1810832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7828258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c418.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…7582backed Under67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under44c377.1$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c374$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.713,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over39c368.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.195529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under32c326.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c306.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over34c289.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9252441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under65c254.66$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c229.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8110740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under64c223.81$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c217.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2955153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over34c210$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Under68c207.27$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.664645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c203.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Over20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12818822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under43c197.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.222052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under61c196.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5431156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c192.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.671,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Under66c184.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12217459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under67c181.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under67c178.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5617255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over55c177.73$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9816547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under65c169.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over33c156$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over22c154.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5532740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15d…0fa4backed Over34c144.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.562010%2 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over72c140.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.487647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21c…3fd3backed Over43c139.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.914233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c137.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.464,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…4db1backed Over36c133.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.331338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over35c133.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.67245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Under32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over59c121.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.023839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2111027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under64c118.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.541,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6525727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over57c117.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5415143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over44c117.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9411549.6%57 W · 58 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under71c110$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.431553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a6…7158backed Under55c108.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa98b…6086backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over48c92.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.014348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over33c90.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.792832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over40c87.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6221747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over51c82.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3524935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.