Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7461d957393b578e5086b3f9346c5a2bddcf18be99ff6503181ed4e4ff7c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, Tunisia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Belgium | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Belgium | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Tunisia | 53c | 6,426$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.42 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Tunisia | 49c | 6,370$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.26 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Belgium | 54c | 6,168$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.27 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia | 25c | 3,165$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Belgium | 72c | 2,171$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Tunisia | 49c | 2,117$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.83 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Tunisia | 49c | 2,057$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Tunisia | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Tunisia | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.99 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Belgium | 51c | 1,937$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.57 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Tunisia | 48c | 1,622$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.23 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tunisia | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Tunisia | 53c | 1,450$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia | 50c | 1,165$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Belgium | 49c | 1,143$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.24 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tunisia | 45c | 1,097$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Belgium | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.21 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Tunisia | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tunisia | 15c | 987$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Belgium | 54c | 933.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belgium | 61c | 885.49$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia | 51c | 853.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tunisia | 28c | 850$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Belgium | 49c | 789.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.4 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Tunisia | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Tunisia | 51c | 691$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Belgium | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Tunisia | 39c | 600.08$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Belgium | 51c | 574.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Belgium | 52c | 566.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.93 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Belgium | 52c | 563.02$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia | 36c | 557.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Tunisia | 48c | 523.11$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Tunisia | 5c | 509.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Belgium | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tunisia | 53c | 429.11$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Tunisia | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…2871backed Tunisia | 51c | 388.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Belgium | 52c | 382.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tunisia | 50c | 333.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Belgium | 71c | 331.89$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tunisia | 50c | 326$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tunisia | 50c | 324.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Belgium | 48c | 322$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Tunisia | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Tunisia | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Tunisia | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Tunisia | 53c | 283.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Tunisia | 52c | 279.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Belgium | 49c | 261.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Tunisia | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Tunisia | 50c | 259.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Tunisia | 52c | 259.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tunisia | 50c | 247.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Tunisia | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Tunisia | 13c | 230.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Tunisia | 51c | 225.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Belgium | 62c | 223.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tunisia | 52c | 223.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Tunisia | 51c | 221.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Belgium | 49c | 202.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Tunisia | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Belgium | 66c | 199.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Tunisia | 18c | 199.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tunisia | 42c | 196.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tunisia | 42c | 196.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Belgium | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Tunisia | 48c | 195.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Belgium | 44c | 194$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Belgium | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Tunisia | 51c | 187.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tunisia | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Tunisia | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Belgium | 62c | 157.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Belgium | 52c | 153.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Tunisia | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…7a5bbacked Belgium | 53c | 139.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Belgium | 48c | 132.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Belgium | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belgium | 42c | 114.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Belgium | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Belgium | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Belgium | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Tunisia | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Belgium | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Belgium | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Belgium | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…1e6ebacked Belgium | 48c | 87.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Belgium | 50c | 86.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Tunisia | 48c | 86.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Belgium | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Belgium | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Tunisia | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Belgium | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tunisia | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tunisia | 51c | 73.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Tunisia | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Belgium | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.